The Chicago White Sox and the Cleveland Guardians meet Thursday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Chicago White Sox will send out Davis Martin for the start here and Martin is 9-3 with a 3.00 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. Cleveland will trot out Slade Cecconi here and Cecconi is 4-6 with a 4.18 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season.
Chicago White Sox Recap
The Chicago White Sox come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-1 loss at the hands of Baltimore last time out to sit at 45-40 this season. After this series, the White Sox will head home for a series against the Boston Red Sox.
White Sox Fail To Complete Sweep Again
Munetaka Murakami has 48 hits with 20 home runs and 41 RBIs while Miguel Vargas has 75 hits with 15 doubles, a triple, 19 home runs and 52 RBIs and Colson Montgomery has 65 hits with 15 doubles, 20 home runs and 47 RBIs. Luisangel Acuna has 30 hits and Tristan Peters has 60 hits with 17 doubles so far this season. Chase Meidroth also has 84 hits with 15 doubles, 6 home runs and 27 RBIs this year.
Cleveland Guardians Recap
The Cleveland Guardians come into this game looking to add on to their 9-4 win over Texas last time out to sit at 45-42 this season. After this series, the Guardians will head on the road for a series against the Minnesota Twins.
Guardians Snap Two-Game Slide
Chase DeLauter has 68 hits with 14 doubles, 7 home runs and 37 RBIs while Steven Kwan has 57 hits with 9 doubles, a home run and 13 RBIs and Jose Ramirez has 64 hits with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 33 RBIs this season. Brayan Rocchio has also added 75 hits with 13 doubles, 5 home runs and 34 RBIs this season while Angel Martinez has 54 hits with 11 doubles, 11 homers and 33 RBIs and Rhys Hoskins has added 36 hits with 13 doubles, 7 home runs and 29 RBIs. Daniel Schneemann has 47 hits with 10 doubles, 6 home runs and 27 RBIs this season.
The Chicago White Sox @ Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends: July 2, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Slade Cecconi Record this season: 4-6 ERA: 4.18
- Home Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against White Sox: 0-1
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last seven home games against the White Sox.
- The White Sox have lost 14 of their last 15 night games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last six Thursday games.
- The White Sox have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven night games against AL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The White Sox have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The White Sox have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games at Progressive Field.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Davis Martin Record this season: 9-3 ERA: 3.00
- Road Record: 4-3
- Last 5 against Guardians: 1-3
Why the Chicago White Sox will win
- The Guardians have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The White Sox have won each of their last five night games against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games at Progressive Field following a home win.
- The White Sox have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Guardians’ last eight games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the White Sox’s last six games as underdogs against the Guardians have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Guardians’ last seven games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the White Sox’s last four games.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Steven Kwan has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last 10 home games against the White Sox.
- Chase DeLauter has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Slade Cecconi has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
Chicago White Sox Player Prop Facts
- Davis Martin has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last five Thursday appearances.
- Randal Grichuk has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as an underdog against the Guardians.
- Randal Grichuk has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as an underdog against the Guardians.
- Davis Martin has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Davis Martin ranks T4th in the league for Wins (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.366).
- The Guardians rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (345).
- The White Sox rank T2nd in the league for home runs this season (119).
- The White Sox rank 26th in the league for strikeouts against this season (771).
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction
I’m on the White Sox here. I’m not fully sold in the Guardians offensively after one win, and Chicago is the better team with a starting pitcher in Davis Martin who has been money for this team for much of the season up to this point. I think this has all of the makings of a comfortable White Sox win so give me Chicago here.