In this article we will formulate a Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, July 24th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Guardians Get a Big Win
The Cleveland Guardians are 60-40 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Cleveland lost the first game in this series on Monday, but they won game two by a score of 5-4 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Guardians lost two out of three against the Padres, lost two out of three against the Rays, and lost three out of four against the Tigers. Cleveland is just 3-7 in their last 10 games and they are first in the AL Central.
The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.69 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .234 opponent batting average. The Guardians offense has scored 469 runs with a .243 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Jose Ramirez is batting .274 with 24 home runs and 82 RBI’s for the Guardians this season. Cleveland has scored two runs or fewer in six of their last nine games.
Tigers Offense Keeps Hitting
The Detroit Tigers are 50-52 this season and they have won five of their last seven games. Detroit won game one in this series by a score of 8-2 on Monday, but they did lose on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Blue Jays, won two out of three against the Dodgers, and won three out of four against the Guardians. Detroit is 11-4 in their last 15 games and they are fourth in the AL Central.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .244 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 441 runs with a .234 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Wenceel Perez is batting .261 with seven home runs and 27 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has scored at least five runs in seven of their last eleven games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 8-4 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 110.2 innings pitched this year. Bibee has allowed four earned runs in two of his last three starts, but did throw 5.2 shutout innings last time out. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jack Flaherty, who is 7-5 with a 3.13 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 100.2 innings pitched this season. Flaherty has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.
Why the Tigers will beat the Guardians
- The Tigers have won each of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Guardians have lost each of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last 12 night games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games against the Guardians.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games against the Guardians at Progressive Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last 10 road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Guardians’ last six home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last five games as favorites.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Steven Kwan has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two games as home favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Guardians’ last five games against the Tigers at Progressive Field.
- Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in 10 of the Guardians’ last 12 games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- Will Brennan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Will Brennan has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of the Guardians’ last seven home games against opponents that held a losing record.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Carson Kelly has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Mark Canha has recorded a Double in each of the Tigers’ last three night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Carson Kelly has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jack Flaherty has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with the Tigers as underdogs.
- Mark Canha has scored a run in seven of his last eight road appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
- Riley Greene has recorded a Single in each of his last six appearances with the Tigers as underdogs.
- Jack Flaherty has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his last 10 road appearances.
- Mark Canha has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances.
- Mark Canha has recorded at least one total base in each of his last seven road appearances.
Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers Prediction
Detroit wasn’t able to continue their hot streak in game two of this series on Tuesday, but they will look to get back on the winning track here. The Tigers are dealing with some injuries to their pitching staff, but their offense has been much improved over the last few weeks. Detroit is 26-28 on the road, while the Guardians are 32-14 at home. The Tigers are going with Flaherty, who has been one of the better pitchers in the AL so far this season. Detroit is 6-1 in Flaherty’s last seven starts and I think he pitches another gem here. My Cleveland Guardians vs Detroit Tigers prediction is for Detroit to win.