The New York Mets and the Cleveland Guardians meet Tuesday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets will send out Sean Manaea for the start here and Manaea is 2-5 with a 4.42 ERA and 88 strikeouts this season. Joey Cantillo will start for the Guardians and is 8-6 with a 3.88 ERA and 124 strikeouts this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to shake off a 2-0 loss at the hands of the Miami Marlins last time out to sit at 47-66 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Mets Lose 3 In A Row
Juan Soto has 83 hits with 8 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 RBIs. Brett Baty has 70 hits with 13 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs and 33 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 71 hits with 8 doubles, 12 home runs and 35 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 113 hits with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 53 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 62 hits with 9 doubles and 12 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 107 hits with 15 doubles, 2 triples, 11 home runs and 41 RBIs and Mark Vientos has added 50 hits with 9 doubles, 11 home runs and 35 RBIs.
Cleveland Guardians Recap
The Cleveland Guardians come into this game looking to add on to their 5-0 win over the Arizona Diamondbacks last time out to improve to 57-56 on the year. After this series, the Guardians will head on the road for a set against the Chicago White Sox.
Guardians Snap Two-Game Slide
Chase DeLauter has 99 hits with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 55 RBIs while Steven Kwan has 91 hits with 14 doubles, a home run and 21 RBIs and Jose Ramirez has 72 hits with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 RBIs this season. Brayan Rocchio has also added 99 hits with 17 doubles, 9 home runs and 50 RBIs this season while Angel Martinez has 56 hits with 12 doubles, 11 homers and 33 RBIs and Rhys Hoskins has added 43 hits with 13 doubles, 12 home runs and 36 RBIs. Daniel Schneemann has 52 hits with 11 doubles, 6 home runs and 28 RBIs this season.
New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends: August 4, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Joey Cantillo Record this season: 8-6 ERA: 3.88
- Home Record: 4-2
- Last 5 against Mets: –
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last six games against the Mets.
- The Mets have lost each of their last five games against the Guardians following a loss.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games against the Mets.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Guardians following a loss.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sean Manaea Record this season: 2-5 ERA: 4.42
- Road Record: 1-4
- Last 5 against Guardians: 1-1
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The underdogs have won each of the last four games between the Mets and Guardians.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games following a home loss.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as home favorites following a win.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games at Progressive Field against NL East opponents.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five home games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Guardians’ last four games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Guardians’ last five night games at Progressive Field.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Rhys Hoskins has hit at least one home run in three of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Joey Cantillo has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Joey Cantillo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Guardians as favorites.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 18 games as home favorites.
- Jose Ramirez ranks T5th in the league in Steals (27) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Sean Manaea has recorded a win in three of his four previous road appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Sean Manaea has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his eight previous appearances in night games against AL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Carson Benge has recorded two or more hits in each of the Mets’ last seven games against AL Central opponents.
- Jorge Polanco has hit a home run in four of his last five road appearances against the Guardians after not playing the previous day.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.370).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (446).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (139).
- The Mets rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction
I’m on the Mets here. I haven’t gone out of my way to back the Mets often this season, but in a lefty/lefty matchup, I think the Mets’ bats in their current form actually have the edge here. It’ll be interesting to see how the Mets conduct themselves after trading away so many bullpen arms, but I think there’s enough here for the Mets to open the series with a W here. Give me New York.