The New York Mets and the Cleveland Guardians meet Wednesday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets will send out Christian Scott here and Scott is 3-3 with a 2.99 ERA and 85 strikeouts this season. Tanner Bibee will start for the Guardians and is 4-11 with a 3.81 ERA and 100 strikeouts this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their 6-2 win over Cleveland from Tuesday to sit at 48-66 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Mets Snap Three-Game Slide
Going into Tuesday, Juan Soto has 83 hits with 8 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 RBIs. Brett Baty has 70 hits with 13 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs and 33 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 71 hits with 8 doubles, 12 home runs and 35 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 113 hits with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 53 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 62 hits with 9 doubles and 12 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 107 hits with 15 doubles, 2 triples, 11 home runs and 41 RBIs and Mark Vientos has added 50 hits with 9 doubles, 11 home runs and 35 RBIs.
Cleveland Guardians Recap
The Cleveland Guardians come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss to the Mets last time out to sit at 57-57 this season. After this series, the Guardians will head on the road for a set against the Chicago White Sox.
Guardians Drop 7 Of Last 10
Entering Tuesday, Chase DeLauter has 99 hits with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 55 RBIs while Steven Kwan has 91 hits with 14 doubles, a home run and 21 RBIs and Jose Ramirez has 72 hits with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 RBIs this season. Brayan Rocchio has also added 99 hits with 17 doubles, 9 home runs and 50 RBIs this season while Angel Martinez has 56 hits with 12 doubles, 11 homers and 33 RBIs and Rhys Hoskins has added 43 hits with 13 doubles, 12 home runs and 36 RBIs. Daniel Schneemann has 52 hits with 11 doubles, 6 home runs and 28 RBIs this season.
New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends: August 5, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Tanner Bibee Record this season: 4-11 ERA: 3.81
- Home Record: 2-6
- Last 5 against Mets: 0-0
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last four road games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Guardians have won six of their last seven games against the Mets.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against the Guardians following a win.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in five of their last six games against the Mets following a loss.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight Wednesday games as road underdogs.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Christian Scott Record this season: 3-3 ERA: 2.99
- Road Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Guardians: –
Why the New York Mets will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last five games between the Mets and Guardians.
- The Guardians have lost six of their last seven games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games against NL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Mets and Guardians.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five night games at Progressive Field against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Guardians’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Christian Scott’s last seven road appearances as a starter.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Tanner Bibee ‘s last four home appearances as a starter.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Patrick Bailey has hit a home run in two of his last three home appearances.
- Tanner Bibee has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Tanner Bibee has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his six previous home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 19 games as home favorites.
- Jose Ramirez ranks T6th in the league in Steals (27) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Francisco Lindor has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four games as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Christian Scott has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances.
- Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his last 18 appearances in night games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.369).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (448).
- The Mets rank T29th in the league for doubles this season (140).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction
I’m on the under in this one. I still don’t trust either one of these teams offensively in this game and I think this is a spot where we just have a low-scoring battle, not because of great pitching but because of a lack of consistent production between two of the most inconsistent teams in baseball. Give me the under.