The New York Mets and the Cleveland Guardians meet Thursday in MLB action from Progressive Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets will send out Nolan McLean for the start here and McLean is 7-7 with a 3.29 ERA and 148 strikeouts this season. Foster Griffin will make his Guardians debut and is 12-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 116 strikeouts this season.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to add on to their 6-5 win over Cleveland from Wednesday to sit at 49-66 this season. After this series, the Mets will head on the road for a series against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Mets Pick Up Back-To-Back Ws
Juan Soto has 83 hits with 8 doubles, 21 home runs and 52 RBIs. Brett Baty has 70 hits with 13 doubles, a triple, 6 home runs and 33 RBIs. Marcus Semien also has 71 hits with 8 doubles, 12 home runs and 35 RBIs as well this season. Bo Bichette also has 113 hits with 16 doubles, 10 home runs and 53 RBIs as well this season. Francisco Alvarez has also added 62 hits with 9 doubles and 12 home runs this season. Carson Benge also has 107 hits with 15 doubles, 2 triples, 11 home runs and 41 RBIs and Mark Vientos has added 50 hits with 9 doubles, 11 home runs and 35 RBIs.
Cleveland Guardians Recap
The Cleveland Guardians come into this game looking to bounce back from their loss to the Mets last time out to sit at 57-58 this season. After this series, the Guardians will head on the road for a set against the Chicago White Sox.
Guardians Drop 8 Of Last 11
Chase DeLauter has 99 hits with 21 doubles, 12 home runs and 55 RBIs while Steven Kwan has 91 hits with 14 doubles, a home run and 21 RBIs and Jose Ramirez has 72 hits with 18 doubles, 10 home runs and 35 RBIs this season. Brayan Rocchio has also added 99 hits with 17 doubles, 9 home runs and 50 RBIs this season while Angel Martinez has 56 hits with 12 doubles, 11 homers and 33 RBIs and Rhys Hoskins has added 43 hits with 13 doubles, 12 home runs and 36 RBIs. Daniel Schneemann has 52 hits with 11 doubles, 6 home runs and 28 RBIs this season.
New York Mets @ Cleveland Guardians Betting Trends: August 6, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Foster Griffin Record this season: 12-3 ERA: 3.06
- Home Record: 6-1
- Last 5 against Mets: 1-0
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last five day games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have lost each of their last five day games following a road win.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against the Guardians following a win.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have lost the first inning in five of their last six road games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Nolan McLean Record this season: 7-7 ERA: 3.29
- Road Record: 5-1
- Last 5 against Guardians: –
Why the New York Mets will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last six games between the Mets and Guardians.
- The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the last seven games between the Mets and Guardians.
- The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last three day games at Progressive Field.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against NL East opponents.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Guardians’ last five day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mets’ last seven day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Mets’ last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Guardians’ last eight home games against NL East opponents.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Patrick Bailey has hit a home run in each of his last three home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Foster Griffin has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite.
- Foster Griffin has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 20 games as home favorites.
- Foster Griffin ranks T4th in the league for Wins (12) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Carson Benge has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last three road games against AL opponents.
- Nolan McLean has recorded a win in each of his last four road appearances.
- Nolan McLean has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his eight previous appearances against AL opponents.
- Carson Benge has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last nine games against AL Central opponents.
- Nolan McLean ranks 9th in the league for total Strikeouts (148) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.369).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (453).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (143).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
New York Mets vs. Cleveland Guardians Prediction
I’m backing the Mets here. The Mets got to Foster Griffin for five runs in his lone meeting with them earlier this season, but the problem is that Griffin at the time had a hot Nationals offense backing him up, something he does not have right now. I think that the Mets can get it done in this game and pull off a surprising sweep so give me New York.