In this article we will formulate a Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 11th at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies are 43-75 this year and they have lost three of their last four games. Colorado won game one in this series by a score of 6-5, but allowed 11 runs on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Rockies lost two out of three against the Mets, lost two out of three against the Padres, and won two out of three against the Angels. Colorado is 2-5 in their last seven games and they are last in the NL West.
The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.55 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .287 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 501 runs with a .243 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Ezequiel Tovar is batting .278 with 19 home runs and 55 RBI’s for the Rockies this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 61-55 this season and they have lost six of their last seven games. Atlanta dropped the first game in this series, but they won game two by a score of 11-8. Prior to this series, the Braves lost all three against the Brewers, split four games with the Marlins, and won two out of three against the Brewers. Atlanta is 5-7 in their last 12 games and they are tied for second in the NL East.
The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .242 opponent batting average. The Braves offense has scored 495 runs with a .241 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Marcell Ozuna is batting .300 with 35 home runs and 90 RBI’s for the Braves this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Spencer Schwellenbach, who is 4-5 with a 4.04 ERA and a 1.04 WHIP over 64.2 innings pitched this year. Schwellenbach has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five outings. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Kyle Freeland, who is 3-4 with a 5.65 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 63.2 innings pitched this season. Freeland has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five outings.
Why the Rockies will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost six of their last seven games as favorites.
- The Rockies have won five of their last six games as home underdogs following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against the Braves at Coors Field following a loss.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Braves have lost the first inning in each of their last three Sunday games as favorites against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Rockies’ last 11 home games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Braves and Rockies.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Brenton Doyle has hit a home run in three of the Rockies’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Ezequiel Tovar has recorded two or more hits in each of the Rockies’ last three day games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Brenton Doyle has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rockies’ last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Charlie Blackmon has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a winning record.
- Brendan Rodgers has recorded two or more total bases in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Brendan Rodgers has recorded at least one Single in 10 of his last 11 home appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Marcell Ozuna has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last four games against the Rockies.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six road appearances against the Rockies.
- Marcell Ozuna has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Braves’ last eight road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Marcell Ozuna has scored at least one run in each of the Braves’ last eight games against the Rockies.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven appearances against the Rockies.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances against NL West opponents.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Rockies.
Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves Prediction
These two teams have split the first two games in this series, which have both been pretty high scoring. Colorado plays their best baseball at home, where they are 26-32, while Atlanta is 29-29 on the road. The Braves have really struggled over the last week or so, and now they are battling with the Mets for second in the NL East. Atlanta is starting Schwellenbach, who has been very serviceable so far this year. Colorado is going with Kyle Freeland, who has some ugly numbers on the season, but he has been pretty solid since coming off of the IL. Atlanta is the better overall team by a wide margin, but they are struggling right now and Freeland has been very good at home. My Colorado Rockies vs Atlanta Braves prediction is for the Rockies to win.