In this article we will formulate a Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 28th at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies are 49-84 this year and they have lost five of their last seven games. Colorado won game one in this series by a score of 3-2, but they dropped game two. Prior to this series, the Rockies lost two out of three against the Yankees, lost two out of three against the Nationals, and won two out of three against the Padres. Colorado is 5-6 in their last 11 games and they are last in the NL West.
The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.53 ERA, a 1.52 WHIP, and a .287 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 564 runs with a .244 batting average and a .306 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .247 with 17 home runs and 58 RBI’s for the Rockies this season.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 48-84 this season and they have won two of their last three games. Miami won game two in this series by a score of 9-8 on Tuesday. Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the Cubs, lost all three against the Diamondbacks, and lost two out of three against the Mets. Miami is 3-9 in their last 12 games and they are last in the NL East.
The Miami pitching staff has a 4.72 ERA, a 1.39 WHIP, and a .257 opponent batting average. The Marlins offense has scored 494 runs with a .240 batting average and a .296 on base percentage. Jake Burger is batting .248 with 25 home runs and 59 RBI’s for the Marlins this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Kyle Freeland, who is 3-6 with a 5.70 ERA and a 1.49 WHIP over 79.0 innings pitched this year. Freeland has allowed three earned runs or more in three of his last five starts. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Max Meyer, who is 3-3 with a 5.44 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 46.1 innings pitched this season. Meyer has allowed at least four earned runs in four of his last five starts.
Why the Rockies will beat the Marlins
- The Marlins have lost each of their last seven road games against NL West opponents following a road win.
- The Rockies have won each of their last six night games at Coors Field following a loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four night games following a road win.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games following a home loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Rockies’ last seven games as favorites against the Marlins have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Marlins’ last nine road games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six Wednesday games at Coors Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last five Wednesday games against National League opponents.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit at least one home run in each of his last three home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Ezequiel Tovar has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances.
- Kyle Freeland has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances with the Rockies as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Rockies’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Kyle Freeland has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight Wednesday appearances.
- Brenton Doyle has recorded at least one Single in each of his last seven home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Charlie Blackmon has scored at least one run in nine of his last 10 home appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
- Ezequiel Tovar has recorded two or more total bases in each of his last four appearances with the Rockies as favorites.
- Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rockies’ last nine night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one Single in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games against NL West opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Coors Field against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded two or more total bases in each of his five previous appearances at Coors Field.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one RBI in each of his five previous road appearances against the Rockies.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Jesus Sanchez has scored a run in four of his five previous appearances at Coors Field against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
Colorado Rockies vs Miami Marlins Prediction
These two teams have split the first two games in this series and each game has been very entertaining. Colorado is 30-34 at home this year, while Miami is 23-40 on the road. The Rockies have been very competitive at home this season and they are starting Kyle Freeland, who has been pretty solid since the injury, but has faded recently. Miami is going with Max Meyer, who has really struggled over the last few weeks. I don’t like how either pitcher has looked recently, but fading the Marlins on the road is never a bad idea. Take Colorado here.