In this article we will formulate a Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, July 1st at Coors Field in Denver, Colorado. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Rockies Snapped Their Losing Streak
The Colorado Rockies are 28-55 this year and they have lost five of their last six games. Colorado is coming off of a series loss against the White Sox, where they lost two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Rockies lost both games against the Astros, lost two out of three against the Nationals, and lost three out of four against the Dodgers. Colorado is 3-10 in their last 13 games and they are last in the NL West standings.
The Colorado pitching staff has a 5.60 ERA, a 1.54 WHIP, and a .288 opponent batting average. The Rockies offense has scored 350 runs with a .243 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Ryan McMahon is batting .270 with 14 home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Rockies this season. Colorado has allowed at least five runs in 11 of their last 13 games.
Brewers Continue to Dominate the NL Central
The Milwaukee Brewers are 50-34 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. Milwaukee is coming off of a series win against the Cubs, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Brewers won all three against the Rangers, lost three out of four against the Padres, and won two out of three against the Angels. Milwaukee is 10-5 in their last 15 games and they have a 6.5 game lead in the NL Central.
The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.71 ERA, a 1.24 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Brewers offense has scored 405 runs with a .255 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Willy Adames is batting .229 with 13 home runs and 54 RBI’s for the Brewers this season. Milwaukee has allowed three runs or fewer in five of their last seven games. The Brewers will face the Dodgers, Pirates, and Nationals following this series.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Austin Gomber, who is 1-5 with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP over 81.2 innings pitched this year. Gomber has allowed at least four earned runs in each of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Bryse Wilson, who is 5-3 with a 3.89 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 74.0 innings pitched this season. Wilson has allowed zero earned runs in two of his last four starts, but did allow 12 earned runs in the other two outings in that span.
Why the Brewers will beat the Rockies
- The Rockies have lost each of their last 12 home games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Brewers have won six of their last seven games.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Coors Field following an extra innings win.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last five night games following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rockies’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Brewers’ last nine games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last four games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last three road games.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Brendan Rodgers has recorded a Double in each of his last three home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Ryan McMahon has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Austin Gomber has recorded four or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games.
- Ryan McMahon has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Jacob Stallings has recorded at least one hit in each of his 11 previous appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Elias Diaz has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Rockies’ last four games against the Brewers at Coors Field.
- Kris Bryant has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Kris Bryant has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Brenton Doyle ranks T10th in the league in Steals (19) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Willy Adames has hit a home run in two of the Brewers’ last three road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL West opponents.
- Willy Adames has recorded two hits in each of the Brewers’ last three road games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Brice Turang has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Brewers’ last four games against NL West opponents.
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one Single in each of the Brewers’ last six games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Christian Yelich has scored at least one run in each of the Brewers’ last seven night games.
- Brice Turang ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (28) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.60).
- The Colorado Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (544).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (117).
- The Milwaukee Brewers rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (305).
Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee rolls into this series with a comfortable lead in the NL Central standings and they are 23-21 on the road this year. Colorado is just 16-24 at home and they have the worst team ERA in the MLB this season. The Rockies do play their best baseball at home, but it is going to be tough for them to limit the Milwaukee offense. The Brewers have been great with both their hitting and pitching, but Wilson has been inconsistent in recent outings. I don’t love the pitching matchup for either team here, so I will side with the better overall team. My Colorado Rockies vs Milwaukee Brewers prediction is for the Brewers to win.