In this article, we will formulate a Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 17th, at Coors Field.
Padres Wasted Chances
The Padres scored three runs on Friday, but it should have been more, as the offense ended up with nine hits. Pitcher Matt Waldron wasn’t good, going 5.2 innings, giving up nine hits and seven runs. The Padres are averaging 4.77 runs, while their pitching is giving up 4.19 runs per game. The offense is ranked 11th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 12th. Jurickson Profar has hit 19 home runs and driven in 72 RBIs so far this season. Manny Machado has hit 18 home runs and driven in 70 RBIs. Getting the start for the Padres will be Dylan Cease, who sits with an 11-9 record and an ERA of 3.41. In his last start against the Miami Marlins, he went five innings giving up six hits and five runs.
Why the Padres Will Beat the Rockies
- The Padres have won 15 of their last 16 night games after playing the previous day.
- The Rockies have lost each of their last six games following a home win.
- The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 road games against NL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five night games following a home win.
Rockies Escaped Jams to Win
There were a couple of big jams the Rockies got out of on Friday night that allowed them to pick up the victory. Brendan Rogers had a strong game, hitting a home run and driving in three RBIs. The Rockies are averaging 4.27 runs, while their pitching is giving up 5.89 runs per game. The offense is ranked 17th in the league, while the pitching is ranked 30th. They have a negative run differential of -1.6.2 which is 29th in the league. Brenton Doyle has hit 20 home runs and driven in 60 RBIs. Getting the start for the Rockies will be Kyle Freeland, who sits with a 3-4 record and an ERA of 5.75. In his last start against the Atlanta Braves, he went 3.2 innings giving up four hits and three runs.
Why the Rockies Will Beat the Padres
- The Padres have lost each of their last five games as road favorites following a road loss.
- The home team has won each of the Padres’ last five games.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Padres.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites following a road loss.
- The Rockies have led after 5 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs.
Colorado Rockies vs San Diego Padres Prediction
This is going to be the highest-scoring game of the day. Cease, in his last start, gave up five runs, and he’s going to be blown up again by the Rockies. Freeland sits with an ERA of 5.75, and he’s going to be dominated by the Padres. Cease and Freeland will give up at least five runs each before they are pulled, and that will be the difference here. Look for 19 or 20 runs scored. Back the over to cash here.