In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Braves Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, May 12th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Atlanta Braves Preview
The Atlanta Braves have a 28-13 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL East. They have a 12-6 home record and are coming off a 7-2 win on the road against the Dodgers. They will face the Red Sox and the Marlins next.
The Braves have a .270 batting average this season, .334 OBP and .450 Slugging percentage. Atlanta’s pitching staff has a 3.14 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Michael Harris II is the team’s best hitter with a .313 batting average. Matt Olson leads the team in RBI with 36, also adding a team‑high 14 home runs.
Grant Holmes (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Braves, and he has a 2-1 record, 4.34 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 27-14 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 9-9 away record and are coming off a 0-3 loss on the road against the Rangers. They will face the White Sox and the Brewers next.
The Cubs have a .252 batting average this season, .347 OBP and .417 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 3.81 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Nico Hoerner is the team’s best hitter with a .278 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 28. Ian Happ adds a team‑high 9 home runs.
Colin Rea (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 4-1 record, 4.03 ERA and 1.37 WHIP.
The Chicago Cubs @ Atlanta Braves Betting Trends: May 12, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Grant Holmes Record this season: 2-1 ERA: 4.34
- Home Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Cubs: –
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The home team has won nine of the Cubs’ last 10 games.
- The Cubs have lost five of their last six games at Truist Park against teams that held a winning record.
- The Braves have covered the run line in 15 of their last 16 games as favorites following a road win.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Braves have led after 3 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Colin Rea Record this season: 4-1 ERA: 4.03
- Road Record: 2-1
- Last 5 against Braves: 1-0
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won each of their last nine games against National League opponents.
- The Braves have lost four of their last five games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last nine road games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in 16 of their last 17 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Braves have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 11 Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last seven games between the Cubs and Braves at Truist Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Cubs’ last nine road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Braves’ last 12 games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Cubs’ last six games against NL East opponents.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit a home run in three of the Braves’ last four games as favorites against NL opponents.
- Ozzie Albies has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 games as favorites.
- Ozzie Albies ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (49) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last three games against NL East opponents.
- Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 11 road games against NL East opponents.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T10th in the league in Steals (9) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (228).
- The Braves rank 1st in the league for hits this season (383).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.347).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (191).
Cubs vs Braves Prediction
Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings but the Cubs are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Atlanta. Under is 8-2 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Cubs vs Braves Prediction, the Braves are coming as -130 home favorites. Two of the three best teams in baseball are clashing today, as well as two of the three best offenses. I don’t like either pitcher in this matchup, as they both have 4+ ERA and have even weaker home/away splits, so I like the over in this one. Both teams average 11.1 runs per game combined this season and with two pitchers that are not in their best form, I will go over the 8.5 runs in this one.