The Milwaukee Brewers and Chicago Cubs meet Wednesday in Game 3 NLDS MLB action at Wrigley Field. Here’s a Cubs vs Brewers Prediction. This article will include a Cubs vs Brewers Pick.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers will make their first NLCS since the 2018 season with a win here. The Milwaukee Brewers are batting .343 on the season, have a .410 OBP, and a .529 slugging percentage. The Milwaukee Brewers pitching staff has a 3.00 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP. Jackson Chourio leads the Milwaukee Brewers with 5 hits and 6 RBI while Christian Yelich and William Contreras have combined for 8 hits and 2 RBI.
Quinn Priester gets the ball for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he is 13-3 with a 3.32 ERA and 132 strikeouts this season. Priester will make his MLB postseason debut here. Priester is 1-0 with a 6.20 ERA and 13 strikeouts in his career against the Chicago Cubs.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs need a win to force a game 4 on Thursday. The Chicago Cubs are batting .216 on the season, have a .271 OBP, and a .386 slugging percentage. The Chicago Cubs pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Nico Hoerner leads the Chicago Cubs with 7 hits and 2 RBI, while Michael Busch and Pete Crow-Armstrong have combined for 9 hits and 3 RBI.
Jameson Taillon gets the ball for the Chicago Cubs, and he is 11-7 with a 3.68 ERA and 98 strikeouts this season. Taillon is 0-1 with a 3.24 ERA and 4 strikeouts in his postseason career. Taillon is 6-10 with a 3.33 ERA and 99 strikeouts in his career against the Milwaukee Brewers.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jameson Taillon Record this season (inc. playoffs): 11-7 ERA: 3.57
- Home Record: 5-2
- Last 5 against Brewers: 2-3
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The favorites have won each of the Cubs’ last 10 games.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last seven road playoff games.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Cubs’ last 10 games.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine road games.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Wednesday games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Quinn Priester Record this season: 13-3 ERA: 3.32
- Road Record: 6-1
- Last 5 against Cubs: 1-0
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last five games as underdogs.
- The Cubs have lost each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in 26 of their last 27 games as underdogs.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight playoff games after not playing the previous day.
- The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cubs’ last seven playoff games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Brewers’ last four playoff games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 14 of the Brewers’ last 16 games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Cubs’ last five games against NL Central opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in four of the Cubs’ last five games as favorites.
- Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 home appearances.
- Nico Hoerner ranks 6th in the league in Hits (178) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Brice Turang has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Jackson Chourio has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Brewers as road underdogs.
- Danny Jansen has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (405).
- The Cubs rank T3rd in the league for RBIs this season (771).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.332).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (164).
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction
The Cubs should feel better coming back home behind a great home crowd, but there’s just no reason to go against the Brewers, the best record in baseball and a team that’s cashed tickets for us all year.
Taillon does have postseason experience and has been dealing lately, allowing 18 hits and 4 runs in his last 27.1 innings. Priester will pitch in the postseason for the first time and is still young in MLB experience overall with just 39 career starts. Still, the Brewers have been kind to us all year and until that changes, I don’t see a reason to bet against them. I’ll gladly take the more favorable price with the better team.