In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, October 11th at the American Family Field in Game 5 of this NLDS series, with both teams being tied 2-2 wins. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 99-67 record this season and were placed first in the NL Central. The Brewers have a 54-29 home record and are 80-81 in over/under. They are coming off a 0-6 road defeat by the Cubs in Game 4, and have back-to-back losses. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 games.
The Brewers have a .258 batting average this season, .332 OBP and .403 slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.58 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Jackson Chourio leads the Brewers with 7 hits in the playoffs, adding a team-high 6 RBI. Blake He is also the team’s best hitter, with a .467 batting average, while four players have one home run each.
The Brewers have not announced a starting pitcher for this game yet.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 96-73 record this season and were placed second in the NL Central. The Cubs have 42-41 road record and are 77-79 in over/under. They are coming off a 6-0 home victory over the Brewers, and have back-to-back wins. Over is 3-1 in their last 4 games.
The Cubs have a .249 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .430 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Nico Hoerner leads the team with 12 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter, with a .429 batting average. Seiya Suzuki adds a team-high 4 RBI, while Michael Busch adds a team-high 4 home runs.
The Cubs have not announced a starting pitcher for this game yet.
The Chicago Cubs @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: October 11, 2025
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Cubs have lost each of their last six road games.
- The home team has won nine of the Cubs’ last 10 games.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road playoff games.
- The favorites have covered the run line in 10 of the Cubs’ last 12 games.
- The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Brewers have lost each of their last five games as favorites against the Cubs following a road loss.
- The Cubs have won six of their last seven games as underdogs against the Brewers following a home win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites following a road loss.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last nine playoff games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday night home games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last five games between the Cubs and Brewers at American Family Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Cubs’ last seven playoff games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last five games as underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last four games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Andrew Vaughn has hit a home run in three of the Brewers’ last five home games against the Cubs.
- Brice Turang has recorded a Double in three of the Brewers’ last four home games.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances after not playing the previous day.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Nico Hoerner has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last five games as road underdogs against the Brewers.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last eight games.
- Nico Hoerner ranks 6th in the league in Hits (178) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.332).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (164).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (405).
- The Cubs rank T3rd in the league for RBIs this season (771).
Cubs vs Brewers Prediction
The Cubs are 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against the Brewers, but the Brewers are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Over is 4-2 in their last 6 meetings.
In this Cubs vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -140 home favorites. The Cubs won both games in Chicago and managed to force a Game 5 today in Milwaukee. The Brewers dominated the Cubs in the first two games in Milwaukee, winning both with a combined 18-6 score, and have lost only once in their last 5 meetings in Milwaukee. Neither team has announced a starting pitcher for this game, but in any case, the edge goes to the home team. The Brewers have been dominant at home, while the Cubs have been mediocre on the road, and Milwaukee has also the slight edge both in bullpen and in offense. The play here is the Milwaukee Brewers on the moneyline.