In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Diamondbacks prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 3rd at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 21-12 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-5 and 2-0. In game two, Chicago scored once in the second inning and once in the eighth inning for the shutout win. The Cubs recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Happ and Suzuki, who both had one RBI. Imanaga allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Brown picked up the save. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three against the Padres, but lost two out of three against the Dodgers before that.
This season, Chicago has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .228 opponent batting average, while they have scored 177 runs with a .258 batting average and a .350 on base percentage. Nico Hoerner has led the Cubs with four home runs and 26 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added six home runs and 24 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Matthew Boyd, who is 1-1 with a 7.00 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 18.0 innings pitched this year.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 16-16 this season after they lost game two by a score of 2-0 on Saturday afternoon. Arizona fell behind early in the game and they never got their offense going in the tough loss. The Diamondbacks recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Arenado, who went 1-3. Nelson allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Morillo allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Arizona lost two out of three against the Brewers and split two games with the Padres.
This season, Arizona has a 4.96 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while they have scored 146 runs with a .248 batting average and a .304 on base percentage. Ildemaro Vargas has led the Diamondbacks with six home runs and 21 RBIs, while Corbin Carroll has added four home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Arizona is Merrill Kelly, who is 1-2 with a 9.20 ERA and a 2.25 WHIP over 14.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won each of their last 10 home games.
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last six games following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven games as underdogs.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Cubs have lost seven of their last nine games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have won five of their last seven games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games following a road loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Sunday games.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Cubs’ last six home games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Diamondbacks’ last eight games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Cubs’ last six games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Diamondbacks’ last five day games against NL Central opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Matthew Boyd has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four home appearances.
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last five home games.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in four of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in 22 of his last 23 Sunday appearances at Wrigley Field.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Merrill Kelly has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Cubs after playing the previous day.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in 27 of his last 28 appearances.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.350).
- The Cubs rank T3rd in the league for runs scored this season (177).
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (10).
- The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for walks this season (84).
Cubs vs Diamondbacks Prediction
Chicago comes into this matchup on a four game winning streak and they have scored at least five runs in four of their last five. The Cubs are 13-5 at home this year, while the Diamondbacks are 7-10 on the road. Arizona has dropped three in a row and they have scored two runs or fewer in three of their last five. The Diamondbacks are starting Kelly, who has allowed 13 earned runs and 16 hits in his last two starts, while Boyd has allowed 5+ earned runs in two of his four starts. Take the over in this game.