The Miami Marlins and the Chicago Cubs meet Monday in MLB action from Wrigley Field. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Cubs vs Marlins Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Miami Marlins will send out Cal Quantrill for the start and Quantrill is 2-3 with a 7.11 ERA and 22 strikeouts this season. In his career, Quantrill is 0-3 with a 12.86 ERA and 11 strikeouts against the Cubs. Colin Rea will get the start for the Chicago Cubs here and Rea is 2-0 with a 2.43 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Rea’s second career start against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Recap
The Miami Marlins come into this game looking to bounce back from their 4-2 loss at the hands of the Chicago White Sox in Sunday’s series finale to fall to 15-24 on the year. After this series, the Marlins will head home for a series against the Tampa Bay Rays.
Marlins Drop Rubber Match Vs. Marlins
Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 41 hits including 3 doubles and a team-high 11 stolen bases while Eric Wagaman has 31 hits with 8 doubles. Otto Lopez has 25 hits with 5 doubles and a pair of home runs with 11 RBIs and Matt Mervis has a team-high 7 home runs and 14 RBIs so far this year. Kyle Stowers has 37 hits with 4 doubles, a triple, 7 home runs and 26 RBIs but also has 43 strikeouts while Mervis has 40 K’s as well so far this season.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Cubs following a road loss.
- The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight Monday night games as home favorites against National League opponents.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last five night games against the Cubs at Wrigley Field following a loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven home games after playing the previous day.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against the Cubs.
- Cal Quantrill has recorded five or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in four of the Marlins’ last five games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Xavier Edwards ranks T6th in the league in Steals (11) this season.
Chicago Cubs Recap
The Chicago Cubs come into this game looking to bounce back from a 6-2 loss at the hands of the New York Mets in Sunday’s series finale to fall to 23-18 on the year. After this series, the Cubs will square off in a home interleague series against the Chicago White Sox.
Cubs Drop 5 Of Their Last 7
Ian Happ has a team-high 43 hits with 9 doubles, 3 home runs and 19 RBIs. Kyle Tucker has 43 hits including 8 doubles, 10 home runs and 32 RBIs while Seiya Suzuki also has 37 hits with 7 doubles and 9 home runs and 32 RBIs of his own. Miguel Amaya’s added 6 doubles and 18 RBIs and Pete Crow-Armstrong also has contributed 11 doubles, 10 home runs and 28 RBIs as well this season. Dansby Swanson has added 8 home runs and 22 RBIs, while he also has the unfortunate distinction of leading the Cubs with 49 strikeouts so far this season. Crow-Armstrong also has a team-high 13 stolen bases while Nico Hoerner has 7 stolen bases this season. Tucker’s also added 10 stolen bases while Michael Busch has also chipped in 7 home runs and 24 RBIs this season.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won each of their last 11 games following a road loss.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 20 Monday road games.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games following a road loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five road games.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Marlins after playing the previous day.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded an RBI in each of the Cubs’ last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs’ last eight night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 13 night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last seven night games.
- Justin Turner has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Marlins.
- Kyle Tucker ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last six road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Cubs’ last five games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
Cubs vs Marlins Prediction
I’m on the Cubs here. I just can’t get there with Miami after how poor the Marlins looked in their weekend series against the White Sox, and Quantrill has had some serious issues in his career against the Cubs. I just think Chicago at home is too good to go against right now, especially when the Marlins are the alternative. Give me Chicago here.