In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 13th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 24-18 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-2 on Monday night. Chicago scored the first five runs in this game, and they were able to cruise to the game one win. The Cubs recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Swanson and Suzuki, who both had one home run and two RBIs in the win. Chicago started Rea, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.2 innings for the win, while Pomeranz picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Mets and two out of three against the Giants. Chicago has lost four of their last six games, and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 4.05 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 238 runs with a .253 batting average and a .330 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Tucker has led Chicago with 10 home runs, 33 RBIs, and 10 stolen bases, while Seiya Suzuki has added 10 home runs and 34 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Ben Brown, who is 3-3 with a 4.95 ERA and a 1.65 WHIP over 36.1 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 15-25 this season after they lost game one on Monday night. Miami trailed 5-0 in the fifth inning, but they did score two runs in the seventh to avoid the shutout. The Marlins recorded seven hits in the game, and they were led by Hill, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Miami started Quantrill, who allowed four hits and three earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Veneziano allowed two hits and two earned runs over 0.2 innings out of the bullpen.
Prior to this series, the Marlins lost two out of three against the White Sox and two out of three against the Dodgers. Miami has lost six of its last eight games, and they are currently last in the NL East standings. The Miami pitching staff has a 5.70 ERA with a 1.53 WHIP and a .268 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 166 runs with a .246 batting average and a .311 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Stowers has led Miami with seven home runs and 26 RBIs, while Matt Mervis has added seven home runs and 14 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Valente Bellozo, who is 0-2 with a 3.50 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 18.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cubs will beat the Marlins
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six road games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Tuesday road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in four of their last five night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in 12 of their last 13 road games.
- The Marlins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in five of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Marlins will beat the Cubs
- The Cubs have lost three of their last four games as home favorites against the Marlins following a home win.
- The underdogs have won three of the Marlins’ last four games.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against the Cubs at Wrigley Field following a loss.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cubs’ last six games as favorites against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Marlins’ last seven road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 13 of the Marlins’ last 14 night games at Wrigley Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Cubs’ last eight home games.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Dansby Swanson has scored at least one run in each of the Cubs’ last nine night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Cubs’ last eight night games.
- Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 14 night games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Justin Turner has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Marlins.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 5th in the league in Steals (13) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Sanchez has hit a home run in five of his last 21 appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in each of the Marlins’ last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in nine of his last 10 appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
- Xavier Edwards ranks T7th in the league in Steals (11) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (238).
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (234).
- The Marlins rank 30th in the league for ERA this season (5.70).
- The Marlins rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (171).
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Cubs vs Marlins Prediction
Chicago was able to pick up a win against this lowly Miami team on Monday night, and they are now 11-9 at home on the year. The Cubs have been slightly inconsistent at the plate in recent series, but they have scored at least five runs in two of their last three games. Miami is 5-13 on the road this season, and they have scored two runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Marlins are starting Bellozo, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts, but he does not go very deep into games. The Cubs are going with Brown, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last five starts, but has struggled in his last two home starts. I don’t love the pitching matchup here, but with Miami struggling to score, I like the under in this game.