In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 18th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 10-9 this season after they won game one by a score of 12-4 on Friday afternoon. Chicago had their lead cut to 4-3 in the second inning, but they scored the next six runs to pull away in the blowout win. The Cubs recorded 14 hits in the game and they were led by Ballesteros, who went 2-2 with one home run and three RBIs. Cabrera allowed eight hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Webb allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three against the Phillies, but lost two out of three against the Pirates before that.
This season, Chicago has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while they have scored 106 runs with a .255 batting average and a .346 on base percentage. Nico Hoerner has led the Cubs with three home runs and 20 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added four home runs and 12 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Jameson Taillon, who is 0-1 with a 4.86 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this season.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 7-13 this year after they lost the first game in this series by a score of 12-4. New York scored three runs in the second inning, but their pitching was not good in the lopsided loss. The Mets recorded 14 hits and they committed two errors, while they were led by Taylor, who went 2-3 with two RBIs in the game. Senga allowed six hits and six earned runs over 3.1 innings for the loss, while Manaea allowed five earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, New York lost all three against the Dodgers and all three against the Athletics.
This season, New York has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while they have scored 69 runs with a .229 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Bo Bichette has led the Mets with one home run and nine RBIs, while Brett Baty has added zero home runs and seven RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Freddy Peralta, who is 1-1 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 21.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last nine games.
- The Cubs have won 10 of their last 11 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games.
- The Cubs have won the first inning in four of their last five day games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four day games.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Cubs have lost five of their last six games as favorites following a win.
- The Mets have won four of their last five games as underdogs against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine day games at Wrigley Field following a loss.
- The Mets have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Cubs’ last six games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Thirteen of the Mets’ last 15 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last four day games at Wrigley Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Cubs’ last five games.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Ian Happ has hit a home run in each of the Cubs’ last three home games against NL East opponents.
- Jameson Taillon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances against NL East opponents.
- Jameson Taillon has recorded a win in each of his last six appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Freddy Peralta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances in day games against teams that held a winning record.
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in five of his last seven appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL Central opponents.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with the Mets as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in each of his last five appearances with his team as a road underdog.
Cubs vs Mets Prediction
New York comes into this matchup desperately trying to snap their losing streak, but they have allowed 20 runs in their last two games. The Mets are 4-7 on the road this year, while the Cubs are 5-5 at home. Chicago has won three in a row and they have scored 6+ in five straight. The Cubs are starting Taillon, who allowed six earned runs last time out, while Peralta has allowed 4, 1, 3, and 1 earned run in his four starts for the Mets. I hate to back the Mets with how they are playing, but I will fade Taillon here. Take New York to win.