In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 30th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 47-38 this season after they won game one by a score of 3-2 on Monday night. Chicago trailed 2-0 in the fourth inning, but they tied the game in the fifth and walked-off with the win in the ninth. The Cubs recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Suzuki, who went 2-4 with two RBIs. Imanaga allowed nine hits and two earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Thornton picked up the win. Prior to this series, Chicago won two out of three against the Brewers and all four against the Mets.
This season, Chicago has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .240 opponent batting average, while they have scored 416 runs with a .241 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Michael Busch has led the Cubs with nine home runs and 45 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 17 home runs and 41 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Matthew Boyd, who is 2-1 with a 5.02 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 28.2 innings pitched this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 43-40 this year after they lost game one by a score of 2-3 last night. San Diego led 2-0 in the fourth inning, but failed to score over the last five innings for the loss. The Padres recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Tatis Jr, who went 1-5 with one RBI. Canning allowed five hits and two earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Adam allowed one earned run for the loss. Prior to this series, San Diego lost two out of three against the Dodgers, but did win all three against the Braves before that.
This season, San Diego has a 3.89 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 323 runs with a .222 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 15 home runs and 44 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 13 home runs and 35 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is JP Sears, who is 1-0 with a 3.18 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 5.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won eight of their last nine games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have lost eight of their last nine road games against National League opponents.
- The favorites have covered the run line in six of the Padres’ last eight games at Wrigley Field.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in five of their last six home games.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Tuesday games against the Padres at Wrigley Field.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Cubs have lost four of their last five games as favorites following a home win.
- The Padres have won nine of their last 10 night games against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in 14 of their last 15 games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 home games after playing the previous day.
- The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Tuesday games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Cubs’ last nine night games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Padres’ last eight road games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Padres’ last 14 night games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 13 of the last 14 night games between the Padres and Cubs.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit a home run in four of the Cubs’ last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in five of his last six home appearances against NL West opponents.
- Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Ty France has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances in night games.
- JP Sears has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against NL opponents.
- JP Sears has recorded four or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Samad Taylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T7th in the league in Steals (19) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (377).
- The Cubs rank 30th in the league for home runs allowed this season (127).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (323).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (600).
Cubs vs Padres Prediction
Chicago comes into this matchup on a three game winning streak and they have allowed three runs or fewer in four of their last five games. The Cubs are 24-17 at home this year, while the Padres are 20-19 on the road. San Diego has dropped three in a row and they have been outscored 22-7 during that span. The Padres are starting Sears, who allowed five hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings in his first start, while Boyd has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. I know the wind is blowing out, but I like the under here.