In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Phillies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, April 13th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 7-8 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL East. They have a 4-5 home record and are coming off a 3-4 home loss against the Diamondbacks. Their previous three games were a 4-3 home win and a 4-5 home loss against the Diamondbacks, and a 0-5 road loss against the Giants.
The Phillies have a .221 batting average this season, .307 OBP and .367 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.30 ERA and 1.26 WHIP. Justin Crawford is the team’s best hitter with a .341 batting average. Bryce Harper leads the team in RBI with 10, and Kyle Schwarber adds a team-high 4 home runs.
Cristopher Sanchez (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 1-1 record, 1.65 ERA and 1.35 WHIP.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 7-8 record this season and are sitting in the fifth place of the NL Central. They have a 3-3 away record and are coming off a 7-6 home win against the Pirates. Their previous three games were a 3-4 and a 0-2 home loss against the Pirates, and a 6-2 road win against the Rays.
The Cubs have a .224 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .357 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 3.43 ERA and 1.12 WHIP. Nico Hoerner is the team’s best hitter with a .316 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 10. Ian Happ adds a team-high 4 home runs.
Javier Assad (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 1-0 record, 0.00 ERA and 0.53 WHIP.
The Chicago Cubs @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: April 13, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez Record this season: 1-1 ERA: 1.65
- Home Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Cubs: 0-1
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Cubs have lost each of their last seven road games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have won each of their last nine Monday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last seven Monday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Cubs at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five road games against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Javier Assad Record this season: 1-0 ERA: 0.00
- Road Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Phillies: 1-1
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games.
- The Cubs have covered the run line each of their last eight games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have won the first inning in four of their last five games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last four games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Cubs’ last six games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Cubs’ last six games as underdogs against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the last five games between the Cubs and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Bryce Harper has hit a home run in each of his last four Monday appearances against NL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Brandon Marsh has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Justin Crawford ranks 9th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.341) this season.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents.
- Nico Hoerner ranks T7th in the league in Steals (5) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (34).
- The Phillies rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (53).
- The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for hits allowed this season (101).
- The Cubs rank 4th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.212).
Cubs vs Phillies Prediction
The Phillies are 4-1 in their last 5 meetings against the Cubs and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Philladelphia.
In this Cubs vs Phillies Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -190 home favorites. Both teams are coming into this matchup with identical records and have lost their previous series. Both pitchers have also been looking good this season, as Assad’s first start for the Cubs was a shutout, but the Cubs are struggling against lefties. I see no value on either side and both teams average just 8.1 runs per game combined this season and sit on the top half of the league in bullpen ERA, so take the under 8.5 in this one.