Cubs vs Pirates Prediction 6/14/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Cubs vs Pirates prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 14th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 42-28 this season after they dropped game two in this series by a score of 2-1. Chicago did not have a good day at the plate, but they tied the game late, before losing in the 10th. The Cubs recorded eight hits in the game, and they were led by Swanson, who went 0-4 with one RBI in the loss. Chicago started Horton, who allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Pomeranz was charged with the loss. 

Prior to this series, the Cubs lost two out of three against the Phillies and two out of three against the Tigers. Chicago has lost four of their last six games, and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 380 runs with a .256 batting average and a .327 on-base percentage this season. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led Chicago with 18 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Seiya Suzuki has added 17 home runs and 57 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Matthew Boyd, who is 5-3 with a 2.89 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 74.2 innings pitched this season. 

Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview

The Pittsburgh Pirates are 29-42 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 2-3 and 2-1. In their game two win, Pittsburgh blew a 1-0 lead in the bottom of the eighth, but ended up getting the win in extra innings. The Pirates recorded six hits in the game, and they were led by Kiner-Falefa and Cruz, who both had one RBI in the win. Pittsburgh started Skenes, who allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Santana got the win and Bednar picked up the save. 

Prior to this series, the Pirates won two out of three against the Marlins and all three against the Phillies. Pittsburgh has won six of its last eight games, and they are currently last in the NL Central standings. The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.74 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .231 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 229 runs with a .227 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. Oneil Cruz has led Pittsburgh with 13 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added eight home runs and 39 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mike Burrows, who is 1-1 with a 5.00 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 18.0 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Pirates

• The Cubs have won each of their last seven games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
• The Pirates have lost each of their last nine Saturday games at Wrigley Field.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games following a loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as underdogs against NL Central opponents following a road win.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against the Pirates.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Cubs’ last eight home games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Each of the Pirates’ last four day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last six games.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Pirates and Cubs at Wrigley Field.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Dansby Swanson has hit a home run in five of his last eight appearances with the Cubs as favorites against the Pirates.
• Seiya Suzuki has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last seven games against NL opponents.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances.
• Kyle Tucker has scored a run in each of the Cubs’ last four home games.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL Central opponents.
• Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances with the Cubs as home favorites against the Pirates.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Pirates’ last six games against NL Central opponents.
• Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in three of his last four Saturday appearances against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
• Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances after playing the previous day.
• Adam Frazier has scored a run in each of his last five appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against NL opponents.

Cubs vs Pirates Prediction 

Pittsburgh was able to get the low-scoring win in extra innings on Friday afternoon, and they have done a very good job of limiting this Chicago offense. The Pirates are 10-23 on the road this season, while the Cubs are 21-12 at home. Chicago is leading the NL Central, but they are just 4-6 in their last 10 games. The Cubs are starting Boyd, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight starts. The Pirates are going with Burrows, who struggled in his first two starts but has allowed just two earned runs in his last 9.2 innings. I trust Boyd a lot more than I trust Burrows, and I think Chicago’s offense will finally break through here. Take the Cubs -1.5 in game three.