In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 30th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 77-59 this season after they split the first two games by scores of 8-10 and 17-5. In game two, Chicago led 3-0 in the first inning and they led the entire game in the win. The Cubs recorded 19 hits in the game and they were led by Crow-Armstrong, who went 4-6 with three home runs and six RBIs. Prior to this series, Chicago lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks and two out of three against the Mariners.
This season, Chicago has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .243 opponent batting average, while they have scored 720 runs with a .251 batting average and a .339 on base percentage. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led the Cubs with 36 home runs and 89 RBIs, while Dansby Swanson has added 18 home runs and 66 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Shota Imanaga, who is 8-9 with a 3.78 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 145.1 innings pitched this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 64-72 this year after they lost game two by a score of 5-17 on Saturday. Cincinnati cut the deficit to 7-5 in the fifth inning, but they were outscored 10-0 the rest of the way in the ugly loss. The Reds recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Suarez, who went 1-2 with one home run and two RBIs. Abbott allowed eight hits and seven earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Santillan allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Cincinnati lost two out of three against the Giants and two out of three against the Diamondbacks.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.67 ERA with a 1.43 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 563 runs with a .228 batting average and a .307 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 30 home runs and 104 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 21 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 14-3 with a 2.77 ERA and a 1.15 WHIP over 139.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last six night games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against NL opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL opponents following a road loss.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in four of their last five games.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Reds have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Cubs have lost three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home favorites following a win.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Cubs following a loss.
- The Cubs have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four night games at Wrigley Field against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last four games between the Reds and Cubs at Wrigley Field have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Reds’ last four games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 10 of the Cubs’ last 11 night games at Wrigley Field.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Reds’ last four night games.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in four of the Cubs’ last five home games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Shota Imanaga has recorded six or more strikeouts in nine of his 11 previous home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.548) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Sal Stewart has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last three road games against the Cubs.
- Chase Burns has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Sal Stewart has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 20 games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Chase Burns has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Reds as underdogs.
- Chase Burns ranks T4th in the league for Wins (14) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (570).
- The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (703).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.228).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1282).
Cubs vs Reds Prediction
Chicago snapped their small losing streak with a huge win on Saturday afternoon and they have scored 25 runs in their last two games. The Cubs are 39-28 at home this year, while the Reds are 32-36 on the road. Cincinnati has lost three of their last five games, but they have scored 25 runs in their last three. The Reds are starting Burns, who has allowed 5, 2, 0, and 5 earned runs in his last four starts, while Imanaga has allowed 1, 3, 4, 1, and 2 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the Cubs to win here.