In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, August 6th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 65-48 this year after they dropped the first two games in this series by scores of 2-3 and 1-5. In their game two loss, Chicago tied the game at one in the fifth inning, but failed to score over the last four innings in the defeat. The Cubs recorded four hits in the game and they were led by Shaw, who went 1-3 with one home run and one RBI in the loss. Chicago started Imanaga, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 6.1 innings, while Kittredge picked up the loss.
Prior to this series, the Cubs won two out of three against the Orioles, but lost two out of three against the Brewers before that. Chicago has lost three of their last four games and they are currently second in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.22 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 582 runs with a .253 batting average and a .322 on base percentage this season. Seiya Suzuki has led Chicago with 26 home runs and 82 RBIs, while Pete Crow-Armstrong has added 27 home runs and 78 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Cade Horton, who is 5-3 with a 3.42 ERA and a 1.29 WHIP over 73.2 innings pitched this year.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 60-54 this season after they won game two on Tuesday by a score of 5-1. Cincinnati scored four runs in the top of the seventh to break the tie and get the win. The Reds recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Steer, who went 2-4 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. Cincinnati started Littell, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Ashcraft, Moll, and Santillan closed out the game.
Prior to this series, the Reds lost two out of three against the Braves and two out of three against the Dodgers. Cincinnati has won three of their last four games and they are currently third in the NL Central standings. The Cincinnati pitching staff has a 3.85 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 520 runs with a .247 batting average and a .320 on base percentage this season. Elly De La Cruz has led Cincinnati with 19 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Spencer Steer has added 13 home runs and 50 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Andrew Abbott, who is 8-1 with a 2.15 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 108.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cubs will beat the Reds
- The Reds have lost each of their last 10 day games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Cubs have won each of their last six day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Cubs following a win.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last five day games following a loss.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Reds and Cubs at Wrigley Field have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the Reds’ last 11 games at Wrigley Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the last nine day games between the Reds and Cubs at Wrigley Field.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Carson Kelly has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances at Wrigley Field against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Ian Happ has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 10 games against opponents that held a winning record.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Tyler Stephenson has hit a home run in four of his last 12 appearances with the Reds as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Wednesday appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Jose Trevino has recorded at least one Double in each of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents.
Cubs vs Reds Prediction
Chicago comes into this game trying to avoid being swept, as they continue to fall behind the Brewers in the NL Central. The Cubs are 35-22 at home this season, while the Reds are 27-28 on the road. Cincinnati has allowed two runs or fewer in three of their last four games and they are starting Abbott, who has allowed a total of five earned runs in his last 17.1 innings. Chicago is starting Horton, who has allowed zero earned runs in three straight starts. Abbott is having an incredible season, but Horton is dealing right now. Take the Cubs here.