In this article we will formulate a Cubs vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, July 17th at Wrigley Field in Chicago, Illinois. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Betting Preview
The Chicago Cubs are 54-42 this season after they won two out of three against the Reds by scores of 0-4, 5-3, and 8-4. In game three, Chicago trailed 4-2 in the third inning, but they scored the last six runs to get the win. The Cubs recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Bregman, who went 3-5 with one home run and four RBIs. Boyd allowed six hits and four earned runs over 6.1 innings for the win, while Webb picked up the save. Prior to that series, Chicago won two out of three against the Orioles, but lost two out of three against the Cardinals before that.
This season, Chicago has a 4.33 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 484 runs with a .244 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Dansby Swanson has led the Cubs with 16 home runs and 58 RBIs, while Ian Happ has added 17 home runs and 42 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Colin Rea, who is 7-5 with a 4.75 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 94.2 innings pitched this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 48-49 this year after they won two out of three against the Angels by scores of 3-4, 5-3, and 4-2. In game three, Minnesota trailed 1-0 in the second inning, but they took the lead in the third and never looked back in the win. The Twins recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Larnach, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Bradley allowed six hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Morris got the save. Prior to that series, Minnesota won two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Yankees.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.62 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 471 runs with a .248 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 25 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Josh Bell has added 13 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Bailey Ober, who is 6-3 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 71.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Twins have lost eight of their last nine games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Cubs have won seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in six of their last seven games.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games against National League opponents.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Cubs have led after 3 innings in each of their last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Twins have lost the first inning in four of their last five road games against NL Central opponents.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won six of their last seven games as road underdogs.
- The Cubs have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against AL Central opponents following a win.
- The Twins have covered the run line each of their last four games at Wrigley Field against teams that held a winning record.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against the Cubs.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games.
- The Twins have won the first inning in four of their last five road games.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Twins’ last 10 road games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Cubs’ last four home games against American League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Twins’ last eight games at Wrigley Field.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Cubs’ last four games against American League opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Pete Crow-Armstrong has hit a home run in four of the Cubs’ last five home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Colin Rea has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last seven Friday appearances.
- Carson Kelly has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Colin Rea has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in night games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Pete Crow-Armstrong is one of only three players to record 10+ Home Runs and 4+ Triples this season.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Kody Clemens has hit a home run in three of the Twins’ last four road games.
- Bailey Ober has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his seven previous Friday appearances in night games with the Twins as underdogs.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Bailey Ober has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for walks this season (417).
- The Cubs rank 29th in the league for home runs allowed this season (148).
- The Twins are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both home runs and batting average this season.
- The Twins rank 6th in the league for runs scored this season (471).
Cubs vs Twins Prediction
Chicago comes into this matchup five games behind the Brewers in the NL Central, but they have scored at least five runs in three of their last four games. The Cubs are 27-19 at home this year, while the Twins are 22-24 on the road. Minnesota is three games back in the AL Central and they have also won three of their last five games. The Twins are starting Ober, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Rea has allowed 3, 2, 1, 0, and 4 earned runs in his last five outings. Take the over here.