In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Friday, August 30th at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game one in the series.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 68-67 this season and they have won six of their last seven games. Detroit is coming off a series win against the Angels, where they won two out of three games. Prior to that series, the Tigers swept the White Sox, lost two out of three against the Cubs, and won two out of three against the Yankees. Detroit is 9-3 in their last 12 games and they are fourth in the AL Central.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 571 runs with a .234 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .260 with 19 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Tigers this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 69-65 this year and they have won two of their last three games. Boston is coming off of a series split against Toronto, where they won two games and lost two games. Prior to that series, the Red Sox lost all three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Astros, and split four games with the Orioles. Boston is 4-7 in their last 11 games and they are third in the AL East.
The Boston pitching staff has a 4.14 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 649 runs with a .258 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Jarren Duran is batting .292 with 20 home runs and 68 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Casey Mize, who is 2-6 with a 4.23 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 78.2 innings pitched this season. Mize has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings but has been on the IL since his last outing in June. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 8-9 with a 3.23 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 158.2 innings pitched this year. Houck has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts.
Why the Red Sox will beat the Tigers
- The Red Sox have won each of their last eight Friday night games against the Tigers.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last eight Friday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last five games at Comerica Park.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Friday night home games.
- The Red Sox have won the first inning in each of their last six Friday night games against the Tigers at Comerica Park.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last three games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last three road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last three games between the Red Sox and Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one RBI in three of the Tigers’ last four games against the Red Sox at Comerica Park.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances.
- Riley Greene has recorded at least one total base in each of the Tigers’ last nine games against the Red Sox.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one Single in each of his last nine appearances.
- Javier Baez has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Andy Ibanez has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
- Matt Vierling has scored a run in each of the Tigers’ last five games against the Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Red Sox’s last four night games against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances against the Tigers.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one total base in each of his nine previous appearances against the Tigers.
- Jarren Duran has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Wilyer Abreu has recorded a Double in each of his last three appearances in night games against teams that held a winning record.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games against AL opponents.
Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
These two teams come into this series locked into a battle in the AL Wild Card race, as they try to catch Minnesota for the last spot. Detroit has been one of the best teams in baseball since July 1st and they are 33-33 at home, while Boston is 38-27 on the road.
The Red Sox have been a very good road team all season and they are starting Tanner Houck, who has pitched very well for Boston this year. Detroit is expected to activate Casey Mize off of the IL for this game, but he did not look very good before getting injured. I think Houck is the much better option here and I like the Red Sox to win.