In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 31st at Comerica Park in Detroit, Michigan. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game two in the series.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 68-68 this year and they have lost two games in a row. Detroit lost the first game in this series in extra innings and allowed seven runs in the game. Prior to this series, the Tigers won two out of three against the Angels, swept the White Sox, and lost two out of three against the Cubs. Detroit is 6-2 in their last eight games and they are fourth in the AL Central.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 3.80 ERA, a 1.19 WHIP, and a .237 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 576 runs with a .234 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Riley Greene is batting .258 with 19 home runs and 56 RBI’s for the Tigers this season.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 70-65 this season and they have won three of their last four games. Boston won game one in this series by a score of 7-5 on Friday night. Prior to this series, the Red Sox split four games with the Blue Jays, lost all three against the Diamondbacks, and won two out of three against the Astros. Boston is 5-7 in their last 12 games and they are third in the AL East.
The Boston pitching staff has a 4.13 ERA, a 1.26 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Red Sox offense has scored 656 runs with a .258 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Jarren Duran is batting .295 with 21 home runs and 69 RBI’s for the Red Sox this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Tarik Skubal, who is 15-4 with a 2.58 ERA and a 0.95 WHIP over 160.1 innings pitched this year. Skubal has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Nick Pivetta, who is 5-9 with a 4.61 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP over 111.1 innings pitched this season. Pivetta has allowed eight earned runs in his last two starts (10.0 IP).
Why the Tigers will beat the Red Sox
- The Tigers have won seven of their last eight night games after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have lost eight of their last nine Saturday road games against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last 10 night games against the Tigers at Comerica Park following a win.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Red Sox’s last nine road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Tigers’ last four games after going to extra innings has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last four road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Red Sox and Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Kerry Carpenter has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Red Sox after playing the previous day.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Tigers’ last three night games.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last six Saturday appearances.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one Single in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Matt Vierling has scored a run in each of the Tigers’ last six games against the Red Sox.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances at Comerica Park.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances.
- Zach McKinstry has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Jarren Duran has hit a home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four road games against AL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded at least one Double in each of the Red Sox’s last three road games against AL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in eight of the Red Sox’s last nine games against AL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has recorded a single in each of the Red Sox’s last seven Saturday night games.
- Nick Pivetta has recorded seven or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Wilyer Abreu has recorded an RBI in eight of his last 10 appearances in night games.
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one hit in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 games as underdogs.
- Masataka Yoshida has recorded at least one total base in each of the Red Sox’s last 10 games as underdogs.
Detroit Tigers vs Boston Red Sox Prediction
Boston jumped out to a 4-0 lead in game one of this series, but they ended up blowing the four-run lead, before winning in extra innings. The Red Sox and Tigers are battling in the AL Wild card race, so this series is very important. Detroit is 33-34 at home this year, while Boston is 39-27 on the road. The Tigers have the pitching advantage in this matchup with Skubal on the mound, who has been one of the best pitchers in the MLB, and I like them to win by at least two runs.