In this article we will formulate a Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, August 4th at Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, Missouri. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game four in the series.
Tigers Refuse to Lose on Saturday
The Detroit Tigers are 53-59 this season and they have lost five of their last six games. Detroit lost the first two games in this series, but they erased a 3-1 ninth inning deficit on Saturday and won in 11 innings. Prior to this series, the Tigers lost both games against the Guardians, lost two out of three against the Twins, and split four games with the Guardians. Detroit is 3-8 in their last 11 games and they are fourth in the AL Central.
The Detroit pitching staff has a 4.02 ERA, a 1.22 WHIP, and a .245 opponent batting average. The Tigers offense has scored 468 runs with a .229 batting average and a .295 on base percentage. Matt Vierling is batting .251 with 13 home runs and 42 RBI’s for the Tigers this season. Detroit has allowed at least five runs in six straight games.
Royals Winning Streak Was Snapped
The Kansas City Royals are 62-50 this year and they have won five of their last six games. Kansas City won games one and two by scores of 7-1 and 9-2, but their bullpen fell apart in game three. Prior to this series, the Royals swept the White Sox in three games, lost two out of three against the Cubs, and lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Kansas City is 10-5 in their last 15 games and they are third in the AL Central.
The Kansas City pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA, a 1.25 WHIP, and a .241 opponent batting average. The Royals offense has scored 533 runs with a .253 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Bobby Witt is batting .345 with 20 home runs and 79 RBI’s for the Royals this season. Kansas City has scored at least five runs in five of their last six games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Bryan Sammons, who is 0-0 with a 6.14 ERA and a 0.68 WHIP over 7.1 innings pitched this season. Sammons allowed five earned runs and four hits over 7.1 innings in his first outing against Cleveland. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Michael Wacha, who is 8-6 with a 3.58 ERA and a 1.20 WHIP over 108.0 innings pitched this year. Wacha has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five starts.
Why the Royals will beat the Tigers
- The Royals have won 10 of their last 11 games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last four games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Royals have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four home day games.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Tigers’ last seven games following an extra innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Royals’ last 12 games following an extra innings loss have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last three day games.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Javier Baez has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances after playing the previous day.
- Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine home appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
- Javier Baez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last nine home appearances against the Royals after playing the previous day.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six Sunday appearances.
- Kerry Carpenter has recorded at least one Single in seven of his last eight home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Kerry Carpenter has scored at least one run in five of his last six home appearances against AL opponents.
Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit at least one home run in three of the Royals’ last four games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Salvador Perez has recorded a Double in three of the Royals’ last four road games against AL Central opponents.
- Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Royals’ last five games against AL Central opponents.
- Michael Wacha has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
- Hunter Renfroe has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last six day games.
- Bobby Witt Jr. has scored at least one run in 10 of the Royals’ last 11 games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Wacha has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against AL opponents.
- Hunter Renfroe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Paul DeJong has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals Prediction
Detroit was able to erase a deficit in the ninth, tenth, and eleventh inning on Saturday night for a dramatic walk-off win, but their pitching is in a very bad spot right now. The Tigers are dealing with some injuries to their starters and traded Flaherty away, so they are allowing way too many runs right now. Detroit is 26-30 at home, while Kansas City is 26-28 on the road. The Royals are trending in the right direction and they are starting Michael Wacha, who has been pretty solid so far this year. Detroit doesn’t have a starting pitcher listed for this game, but it could be Sammons, who has made just one appearance. I can’t get behind this Tigers rotation right now, so my Detroit Tigers vs Kansas City Royals prediction is for the Royals to win.