In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, April 12, at Chase Field in Phoenix, Arizona. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers (8-6, 3-4 Away) won eight of the previous ten games and are displaying much improved performances following a series sweep they suffered to the Yankees in the season’s opening series. The Brewers beat the Rockies 2-1 in Denver and opened this series with a comfortable 7-0 victory over the Diamondbacks. Christian Yelich, William Contreras, and Brice Turang chipped in with two RBI apiece, while Jose Quintana took the win after allowing no runs on four hits with two strikeouts and no walks in 7.0 innings.
This year, the Brewers average 5.36 runs per game (4th in the MLB) on a .242/.313/.389 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Brewers’ staff has a 5.01 ERA (28th) and 1.31 WHIP (17th). Jackson Chourio leads the Brewers with a .302 batting average, four home runs, and 16 RBI this season.
Chad Patrick will take the mound for the Brewers on Saturday. The 26-year-old right-hander has a 1-0 record in two starts this season with a 2.45 ERA and 1.27 WHIP in 11.0 innings.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks (7-7, 4-4 Home) split the series with the Cubs, beat the Yankees, lost to the Nationals, and defeated the Orioles before this series against Milwaukee. Following a convincing 9-0 win over Baltimore, the Diamondbacks succumbed to a 7-0 defeat in Game 1 against the Brewers. Eduardo Rodriguez took the loss after allowing three runs (two earned) on six hits with three strikeouts and two walks over 6.1 innings of work.
This season, the Diamondbacks average 5.14 runs per game (6th in the MLB) on a .253/.338/.440 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Diamondbacks’ staff has a 4.54 ERA (24th) and 1.18 WHIP (8th). Geraldo Perdomo leads the D-backs with a .333 batting average, two home runs, and 13 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks is Corbin Burnes, who has a 0-1 record in two starts this year with a 5.79 ERA and 1.93 WHIP in 9.1 innings.
Why the Diamondbacks will beat the Brewers
- The Diamondbacks have won 13 of their last 14 games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost three of their last four road games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last four home games following a home loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last nine games following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games against the Brewers.
- The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Brewers.
Total Runs Facts
- Nineteen of the Brewers’ last 25 games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Three of the Diamondbacks’ last four home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four home games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank T3rd in the league for RBIs this season (71).
- The Diamondbacks rank 4th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.440).
- The Brewers rank 28th in the league for ERA this season (5.01).
- The Brewers rank T27th in the league for runs allowed this season (74).
Diamondbacks vs Brewers Prediction
The Diamondbacks won six of the previous ten H2H encounters, including four of the last six. I expect the hosts to bounce back from a 7-0 defeat in Game 1 and secure a win here. Corbin Burnes, who played for the Brewers for six seasons and knows their batters very well, should have a much better display following two disappointing starts. The former Cy Young Award winner is much better than this, and I fully expect him to dominate on Saturday. Back the D-backs.