In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, May 2nd in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Chicago Cubs Preview
The Chicago Cubs have a 20-12 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 12-5 home record and are coming off a 6-5 win at home against the Diamondbacks. Their previous three games were a 5-4 win, an 8-3 win and a 7-9 loss on the road against the Padres.
The Cubs have a .260 batting average this season, .352 OBP and .425 Slugging percentage. Chicago’s pitching staff has a 4.04 ERA and 1.20 WHIP. Nico Hoerner is the team’s best hitter with a .297 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 26. Ian Happ adds a team‑high 7 home runs.
Shota Imanaga (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Cubs, and he has a 2-2 record, 3.15 ERA and 0.87 WHIP.
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 16-15 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL West. They have a 7-9 away record and are coming off a 5-6 loss on the road against the Cubs. Their previous three games were a 1-13 loss, a 6-2 win and a 2-13 loss on the road against the Brewers.
The Diamondbacks have a .251 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .418 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 5.04 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Ildemaro Vargas is the team’s best hitter with a .404 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 21 and adding a team‑high 6 home runs.
Ryne Nelson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 1-2 record, 7.71 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ the Chicago Cubs Betting Trends: May 2, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shota Imanaga Record this season: 2-2 ERA: 2.88
- Home Record: 1-1
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 1-0
Why the Chicago Cubs will win
- The Cubs have won each of their last nine home games.
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Cubs have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in four of their last five games at Wrigley Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 7.71
- Road Record: 1-0
- Last 5 against Cubs: 2-0
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Cubs have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against the Diamondbacks following a home win.
- The Diamondbacks have won five of their last six games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last eight games following a road loss.
- The Cubs have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against teams that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Cubs’ last 10 games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four day games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Cubs’ last five games as favorites against NL West opponents.
Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts
- Seiya Suzuki has hit a home run in three of the Cubs’ last four home games.
- Shota Imanaga has recorded five or more strikeouts in nine of his last 11 appearances in day games.
- Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last 13 day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Nico Hoerner ranks T9th in the league in Hits (38) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Cubs.
- Ryne Nelson has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances with the Diamondbacks as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Ildemaro Vargas has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 27 appearances.
- Ildemaro Vargas ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.404) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Cubs rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.352).
- The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (145).
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (10).
- The Diamondbacks rank 29th in the league for walks this season (83).
Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings but the Cubs are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Chicago.
In this Diamondbacks vs Cubs Prediction, the Cubs are coming as -170 home favorites. The Cubs won the opening game of the series and are now 7-3 in their last 10 games and very strong at home, while the Dbacks are 3-7 in their last 10 and have a pitching disadvantage, as Ryne Nelson goes up against Shota Imanaga. Nelson has given up 14 runs in his last two starts and has to face the second-best offense in baseball, so this smells trouble for Arizona. On top of that, Arizona ranks 24th in bullpen ERA, so this shapes up as another Cubs win. Take the Cubs on the moneyline at home.