In this article, we will formulate a Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, June 10th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 32-35 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 21-16 home record and are coming off a 10-6 home win against the Diamondbacks. They will face the Pirates and the Phillies next.
The Marlins have a .245 batting average this season, .322 OBP and .381 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .341 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 48, adding a team-high 12 home runs.
Ryan Gusto (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 0-1 record, 10.80 ERA and 1.80 WHIP.
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 34-32 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL West. They have a 13-18 road record and are coming off a 6-10 road defeat against the Marlins. They will face the Reds and the Angels next.
The Diamondbacks have a .241 batting average this season, .308 OBP and .392 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Corbin Carroll is the team’s best hitter with a .283 batting average. Ketel Marte leads the team in RBI with 40, adding a team-high 11 home runs.
Ryne Nelson (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 2-4 record, 4.60 ERA and 1.18 WHIP.
Arizona Diamondbacks @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: June 10, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryan Gusto Record this season: 0-1 ERA: 10.80
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: –
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won 15 of their last 16 games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have lost each of their last four road games.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven night games against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have covered the run line each of their last five games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games.
- The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson Record this season: 2-4 ERA: 4.60
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Marlins: 0-0
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The road team has won 10 of the last 11 games between the Diamondbacks and Marlins.
- The Marlins have lost four of their last five night games at LoanDepot Park following a win.
- The road team has covered the run line in 14 of the last 15 games between the Diamondbacks and Marlins.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in 10 of their last 12 home games against NL West opponents following a win.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight games at LoanDepot Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Marlins’ last 10 night games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Ryan Gusto’s last seven home appearances as a starter.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last four games.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Xavier Edwards has hit a home run in four of the Marlins’ last 11 home games against NL opponents.
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of his nine previous appearances against the Diamondbacks.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (89) this season.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in each of the Diamondbacks’ last two games.
- Geraldo Perdomo has recorded at least one hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last 10 road games against NL opponents.
- Corbin Carroll ranks 6th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.558) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (77).
- The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (14).
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for triples this season (17).
- The Diamondbacks rank 30th in the league for strikeouts this season (465).
Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction
The Marlins have won their last four meetings against the Dbacks but are 1-6 in their last 7 meetings in Miami. Over is 7-1 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction, both teams are coming at a pickem price. I don’t like the pitching in this game, as Gusto has given up 3 runs in his last two games for the Marlins and Nelson has given up 3+ runs in three of his last five. Both teams average 8.9 runs per game this season combined, Arizona’s bullpen has been shaky at best and the opening game of this series had 16 total runs. Take the over 8.5 in this one.