The Arizona Diamondbacks are visiting the Miami Marlins on Tuesday, April 15th, at the loanDepot park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Diamondbacks vs Marlins Prediction. We will examine:
The Miami Marlins’ recent form and player performance
The Arizona Diamondbacks’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Miami Marlins
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Arizona Diamondbacks
Recent betting trends in games played between the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins game
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have an 8-7 record this season and are sitting in the third place of the NL East. The Marlins have a 6-4 home record and 9-6 in over/under. They are coming off an 11-4 home win over the Washington Nationals and are now 3-1 in their last 4 games and 4-1 to the over in their last 5. The Marlins have a .253 batting average this season, .328 OBP, and .375 slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.07 ERA and 1.39 WHIP. Xavier Edwards leads the Marlins with 18 hits, while Matt Mervis leads the team with 11 RBI. Kyle Stowers is the team’s best hitter with a .314 batting average.
Connor Gillispie (R) will take the mound for the Marlins, and he has a 0-1 record, 3.86 ERA, and 1.14 WHIP. This will be his first start against the Dbacks in his career.
Arizona Diamondbacks Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks have a 9-7 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL West. The Diamondbacks have a 3-3 road record and 6-7 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-2 home victory over the Milwaukee Brewers and are 4-1 in their last 5 games and 4-0-2 to the under in their last 6. The Diamondbacks have a .256 batting average this season, .348 OBP, and .436 Slugging percentage. Arizona’s pitching staff has a 4.34 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Corbin Carroll leads the Diamondbacks with 21 hits, while Jacob Perdomo leads the team both in RBI with 13 and in batting average with .333.
Merrill Kelly (R) will take the mound for the Diamondbacks, and he has a 2-1 record, 7.20 ERA, and 1.60 WHIP. In his last three starts against the Marlins, he had 10 earned runs in 17.1 innings pitched, as the Dbacks won all three games.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Diamondbacks have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites against National League opponents following a home win.
- The Marlins have won five of their last six Tuesday games as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games against National League opponents following a home win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the Marlins’ last 11 games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games.
- The Diamondbacks have lost the first inning in each of their last four road games against NL East opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games against National League opponents.
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last 14 night games against National League opponents following a win.
- The road team has won seven of the last eight games between the Diamondbacks and Marlins.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the last eight games between the Diamondbacks and Marlins.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games at LoanDepot Park.
- The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in each of their last three road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games at LoanDepot Park against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Marlins’ last eight home games against NL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Diamondbacks’ last four night games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last six road games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 29th in the league for strikeouts this season (105).
- The Marlins rank T26th in the league for walks allowed this season (68).
- The Diamondbacks rank T1st in the league for doubles this season (36).
- The Diamondbacks rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (104).
Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction
In their six meetings last season, the Dbacks led the Marlins 4-2 wins, sweeping the only series in Miami with 3-0 wins. Under is 7-3 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Arizona Diamondbacks vs Miami Marlins Prediction, the Diamondbacks are coming as -160 road favorites. Both teams have almost identical records, and both teams are coming in good form into this matchup, so there is no justification for the Dbacks to be such big road favorites. Kelly also struggles mightily to start the season, so the value here lies with the home dog, especially in the first 5 innings, where the Marlins have the pitching advantage. Take the Miami Marlins by +0.5 runs in the first 5 innings.