Diamondbacks vs. Nationals Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/5/23

The Washington Nationals and the Arizona Diamondbacks meet in MLB action from Chase Field on Friday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Arizona is a -195 home favorite while Washington is a +165 road underdog. The total for this game is set at 9 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Josiah Gray will start for Washington and is 2-4 with a 2.67 ERA and 31 strikeouts this season. Arizona is sending Merrill Kelly to the mound and he is 2-3 with a 3.06 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Washington’s 4-3 win over Arizona back on July 24th, 2022, snapped Arizona’s four-game win streak in this head-to-head matchup.

Trends

Washington is 4-1 in their last 5 games overall and 13-41 in their last 54 series-opening games while the under is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall. Arizona is 3-7 in their last 10 games against the NL East and 4-11 in their last 15 series-opening games while the over is 4-0 in their last 4 games overall.

Pick

I’m backing the Nationals here. I just don’t feel like the value is there with Arizona at this price and for the Nationals, while I didn’t have high hopes for them coming into the season, the reality is that it could be a lot worse for the Nats and Josiah Gray’s done a great job putting them in a position to succeed and I think there’s definite value with the Nationals here.

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