The Boston Red Sox and Arizona Diamondbacks meet Sunday in MLB action at Chase Field. Here’s a Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Pick.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 78-65 on the year and play the Athletics, Yankees, and Athletics next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .254 on the season, have a .324 OBP, and a .425 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.78 ERA and a 1.30 WHIP. Jarren Duran leads the Boston Red Sox with 142 hits and 77 RBI, while Trevor Story and Ceddanne Rafaela have combined for 257 hits and 148 RBI.
Brayan Bello gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 11-6 with a 3.07 ERA and 112 strikeouts this season. This will be Bello’s second career game against the Arizona Diamondbacks.
Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Preview
The Arizona Diamondbacks are 72-71 on the year and play the Giants, Twins, and Giants next. The Arizona Diamondbacks are batting .250 on the season, have a .323 OBP, and a .437 slugging percentage. The Arizona Diamondbacks pitching staff has a 4.43 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP. Geraldo Perdomo leads the Arizona Diamondbacks with 150 hits and 91 RBI while Corbin Carroll and Lourdes Gurriel Jr. have combined for 254 hits and 154 RBI.
Ryne Nelson gets the ball for the Arizona Diamondbacks, and he is 7-3 with a 3.57 ERA and 115 strikeouts this season. This will be Nelson’s second career game against the Boston Red Sox.
Boston Red Sox @ Arizona Diamondbacks Betting Trends: September 7, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Ryne Nelson Record this season: 7-3 ERA: 3.57
- Home Record: 5-1
- Last 5 against Red Sox: 1-0
Why the Arizona Diamondbacks will win
- The Diamondbacks have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Red Sox have lost five of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Diamondbacks have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as underdogs.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Diamondbacks following a loss.
- The Diamondbacks have won the first inning in six of their last seven day games at Chase Field.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home games.
- The Diamondbacks have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven home games against AL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brayan Bello Record this season: 11-6 ERA: 3.07
- Road Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Diamondbacks: 0-1
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won each of their last nine Sunday games as road favorites.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last nine Sunday games as road favorites.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Red Sox’s last five road games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Diamondbacks’ last seven games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Diamondbacks’ last seven day games at Chase Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Red Sox’s last five day games against NL West opponents.
Arizona Diamondbacks Player Prop Facts
- Corbin Carroll has hit a home run in three of the Diamondbacks’ last five games as underdogs.
- Ryne Nelson has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six home appearances.
- Corbin Carroll has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against AL East opponents.
- Ryne Nelson has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Corbin Carroll ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.560) this season.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Trevor Story has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances at Chase Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- Connor Wong has recorded at least one Double in three of his four previous appearances against the Diamondbacks.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (34).
- The Diamondbacks rank 2nd in the league for RBIs this season (689).
- The Red Sox rank 1st in the league for doubles this season (287).
- The Red Sox rank 5th in the league for hits this season (1246).
Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction
The Diamondbacks have caught fire over the last week or so, but it does kind of feel a little too late. Nelson has been hittable as of late, allowing 35 hits and 18 runs in his last 35.1 innings. The Red Sox can’t afford to keep dropping games, and Bello has been sharper over the course of the season. Bello has been at his best on the road, where he has a 2.85 ERA and .223 allowed batting average in 53.2 innings. We’re getting a pick em spot, I just trust the Red Sox more. Give me the road team for a bounce back win.