In this article we will formulate a Dodgers vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, October 3rd at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB playoff matchup.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers were 100-62 this season after they swept the Giants in three games to end the regular season. In game three, Los Angeles tied the game at one in the fourth inning and scored four runs in the 10th for the 5-1 win. The Dodgers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Pages, who went 1-3 with one home run and four RBIs. Dreyer opened the game, while Vesia got the win in extras. Prior to that series, Los Angeles lost two out of three against the Padres, but did win all three against the Giants before that.
This season, Los Angeles had a 3.55 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .218 opponent batting average, while they scored 801 runs with a .257 batting average and a .338 on base percentage. Andy Pages led the Dodgers with 23 home runs and 85 RBIs, while Shohei Ohtani added 30 home runs and 81 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Tarik Skubal, who went 12-7 with a 2.72 ERA and a 0.96 WHIP over 158.2 innings pitched this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves went 94-68 in the regular season and they defeated the Phillies in the wild card round in three games. In game three, Atlanta scored the first five runs in the game and cruised to the easy victory by a score of 6-2. The Braves recorded six hits and they were led by Harris II, who went 1-3 with one home run and three RBIs. Kerr opened the game, while Holmes picked up the win in relief. Prior to that series, Atlanta lost two out of three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Reds.
This season, Atlanta had a 3.63 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they scored 742 runs with a .246 batting average and a .309 on base percentage. Matt Olson led the Braves with 41 home runs and 93 RBIs, while Drake Baldwin added 25 home runs and 79 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is TBD.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Braves have lost each of their last six road playoff games.
- The Dodgers have won eight of their last nine home playoff games after not playing the previous day.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Braves’ last four games.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road playoff games following a win.
- The Braves have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road playoff games.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against NL East opponents.
Why the Atlanta Braves will win
- The Braves have won each of their last four games as underdogs against the Dodgers.
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last three playoff games as favorites against the Braves following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the last 10 games between the Braves and Dodgers.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight playoff games against the Braves following a win.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have lost the first inning in each of their last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Dodgers’ last eight home playoff games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Braves’ last four road games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last six games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Braves’ last nine games as road underdogs against NL West opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
- Tarik Skubal has recorded seven or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances with the Dodgers as favorites against the Braves.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Matt Olson has hit a home run in each of the Braves’ last two day games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Drake Baldwin has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 12 games against NL West opponents.
- Matt Olson ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (41) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.218).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for hits allowed this season (1159).
- The Braves rank 29th in the league for triples this season (13).
- The Braves rank 28th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.309).
Dodgers vs Braves Prediction
Atlanta comes into this series after defeating the Phillies in the last round, but they did allow late runs in games one and two. The Braves were 42-39 on the road this year, while the Dodgers were 51-30 at home. Los Angeles had a bye in the wild card round and they have the best lineup in the MLB. I do think the Braves could make this series interesting, but not in game one. Take the Dodgers -1.5 here.