In this article we will formulate a Dodgers vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, October 17th at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NLCS matchup.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are up 3-0 in this series after they won game three by a score of 3-1 on Thursday. Los Angeles allowed the Brewers to tie the game in the second inning, but they scored two runs in the sixth to escape with another win. The Dodgers recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Edman and Betts, who both had one RBI in the win. Los Angeles started Glasnow, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings, while Vesia got the win and Sasaki picked up the save.
Prior to this series, Los Angeles defeated Philadelphia in the NLDS in four games and the Reds in the Wild Card round in two games. The Dodgers have won 13 of their last 14 games and they finished first in the NL West standings. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 2.60 ERA with a 1.02 WHIP and a .174 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 41 runs with a .254 batting average and a .343 on base percentage this postseason. Teoscar Hernandez has led LA with four home runs and 10 RBIs, while Shohei Ohtani has added two home runs and six RBIs so far in the playoffs. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Shohei Ohtani, who is 1-0 with a 4.50 ERA and a 0.67 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this postseason.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are down 3-0 in this series after they lost game three by a score of 3-1 last night. Milwaukee got on the board in the second inning with an RBI single, but couldn’t find anymore scoring in the last seven innings. The Brewers recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Bauers, who went 1-3 with one RBI in the loss. Milwaukee started Ashby, who allowed two hits and one earned run in just 0.1 innings, while Misiorowski was the bulk pitcher and picked up the loss.
Prior to this series, Milwaukee defeated the Cubs in the NLDS in five games, but did have a bye in the Wild Card round. The Brewers have lost five of their last six games and they finished first in the NL Central standings. The Milwaukee pitching staff has a 3.26 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .216 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 25 runs with a .197 batting average and a .271 on base percentage in the postseason. Jackson Chourio has led Milwaukee with two home runs and eight RBIs, while William Contreras has added two home runs and three RBIs in the playoffs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is TBD.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a road loss.
- The Dodgers have lost four of their last five Friday games as favorites.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 games as road underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 Friday games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last three night games against the Dodgers at Dodger Stadium.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Brewers’ last eight playoff games against NL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Dodgers’ last five playoff games as favorites against Brewers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the last five games between the Brewers and Dodgers at Dodger Stadium.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Tommy Edman has hit a home run in three of his last five home playoff appearances.
- Shohei Ohtani has recorded eight or more strikeouts in three of his last four home appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Tommy Edman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Brewers after playing the previous day.
- Freddie Freeman has recorded a Double in five of his last six appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.622) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Yelich has recorded a hit in each of his last seven road appearances against NL West opponents.
- Rhys Hoskins has hit at least one home run in three of his last four playoff appearances against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1505).
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (825).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.332).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for steals this season (164).
Dodgers vs Brewers Prediction
Los Angeles comes into this contest looking to complete the series sweep, as they have dominated the series and have allowed just three runs in three games. Milwaukee was one of the best offensive teams in the regular season, but their bats have gone ice cold in this series. The Brewers once again don’t have a starting pitcher listed, so they may go with another opener, which hurt them yesterday. LA is starting Ohtani, who allowed three earned runs and three hits over 6.0 innings against the Phillies last round. I don’t think we are getting much value here with the Dodgers, but I do think Milwaukee is worth a look at this price, as I could see LA losing focus in this one. Take the Brewers here.