In this article, we will formulate a Dodgers vs Miami prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, April 29, at Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, California. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins (12-16, 4-8 Away)are in a three-game losing streak after suffering back-to-back losses to the Mariners and falling short to the Dodgers in Game 1 of this series. The Marlins were 5-0 down to the Dodgers, but Dane Myers’ pinch-hit grand slam in the 6th inning tied the score and forced overtime, where the hosts edged out Miami. Edward Cabrera pitched for 4.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing five runs on nine hits with two strikeouts and three walks. Ronny Henriquez took the loss.
This season, the Marlins average 4.44 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .256/.319/.389 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Marlins’ staff has a 5.32 ERA (28th) and 1.47 WHIP (28th). Kyle Stowers leads the Marlins with a .293 batting average, two home runs, and 15 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Marlins is Sandy Alcantara, who is 2-2 in five starts this season, with a 6.56 ERA and 1.33 WHIP in 23.1 innings.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers (19-10, 13-3 Home) are now on a three-game winning run after coming out of a three-game losing skid. Following a series win over the Pirates, the Dodgers snatched a 7-6 extra-inning victory over Miami, thanks to Tommy Edman’s RBI double in the 10th inning. Teoscar Hernández also drove in two RBI, while Dustin May pitched for 5.1 innings in a no-decision, allowing three runs on five hits with three strikeouts and three walks. Kirby Yates was credited with the win.
This year, the Dodgers average 4.75 runs per game (8th in the MLB) on a .239/.317/.437 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Dodgers’ staff has a 3.79 ERA (13th) and 1.29 WHIP (16th). Teoscar Hernandez leads the Dodgers with a .274 batting average, nine home runs, and 27 RBI this season.
At the time of writing, the Dodgers still haven’t announced their starting pitcher for this game against the Marlins.
Why the Dodgers will cover
- The Dodgers have won each of their last 10 home games after going to extra innings.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six games at Dodger Stadium.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as underdogs against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Marlins at Dodger Stadium.
- The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against the Marlins.
- The Dodgers have won the first inning in four of their last five games at Dodger Stadium against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last seven games as road underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the last 10 games between the Marlins and Dodgers have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Marlins’ last nine games at Dodger Stadium.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Dodgers’ last eight games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dodgers rank 4th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.437).
- The Dodgers rank T26th in the league for walks allowed this season (113).
- The Marlins rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (159).
- The Marlins rank T28th in the league for home runs allowed this season (37).
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction
The Dodgers won seven of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last three. Even though I don’t know the name of the starter for Los Angeles, I am backing the hosts to cover the run line because Sandy Alcantara hasn’t been himself so far in the season. Although early in the season, Alcantara is posting the weakest numbers of his career, during which he allowed a .306 BA in 134 at-bats against the Dodgers. Mookie Betts, Michael Conforto, Max Muncy, and Will Smith are usually in a great hitting mode against Sandy, so look for this quartet to hurt Miami’s starter.