The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Thursday in MLB action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Dodgers vs Padres Prediction. This article will include a Dodgers vs Padres Pick.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 43-42 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Blue Jays next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 224 on the season, have a .300 OBP, and have a .372 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.16 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 92 hits and 33 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 142 hits and 63 RBI.
Randy Vasquez gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 6-6 with a 4.44 ERA and 60 strikeouts this season. Vasquez is 0-3 with a 5.57 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 56-31 on the year and play the Rockies and Diamondbacks next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .265 on the season and have a .347 OBP and a .442 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 93 hits and 47 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 179 hits and 110 RBI.
Roki Sasaki gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 3-5 with a 4.88 ERA and 72 strikeouts this season. This will be Sasaki’s second career game against the San Diego Padres.
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won each of their last 10 games following a road loss.
- The Padres have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against National League opponents.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight home games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Thursday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Dodgers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five home games against National League opponents.
- The Dodgers have won the first inning in three of their last four home games against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games against NL West opponents.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Dodgers have lost four of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Padres have won each of their last six Thursday games against NL West opponents.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven home games.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Dodgers’ last nine games at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Dodgers’ last five night games against National League opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Three of the Padres’ last four night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 14 of the Padres’ last 15 night games against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Roki Sasaki has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last three home appearances.
- Kyle Tucker has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at UNIQLO Field at Dodger Stadium against NL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 4th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.406) this season.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Xander Bogaerts has hit a home run in each of the Padres’ last two road games against NL West opponents.
- Samad Taylor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. ranks T7th in the league in Steals (19) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.265).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for slugging percentage this season (.442).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (333).
- The Padres rank 30th in the league for hits this season (624).
Dodgers vs Padres Prediction
I’m always looking for chances to fade the Dodgers and these inflated lines, but they’re on a heater, and Vasquez is a hittable pitcher. Vasquez has a .288 allowed batting average on the season. He’s coming off a June in which he allowed 35 hits and 18 earned runs in 20.2 innings. Sasaki has been up and down this season, but at home through 36 innings, he has a 3.50 ERA and a .228 allowed batting average. This just isn’t a spot where I’m stepping in front of the Dodgers. Give me the home team and the RL for max betting value.