In this article, we will formulate a Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, July 22nd in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 56-46 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 27-24 home record and are coming off a 1-2 home loss against the Dodgers. They will face the Yankees and the Marlins next.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a .237 batting average this season, .304 OBP and .403 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.24 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .290 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 61, adding a team-high 33 home runs.
Aaron Nola (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he has a 3-7 record, 5.68 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.
Los Angeles Dodgers Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a 64-38 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL West. They have a 33-19 away record and are coming off a 2-1 road win against the Phillies. They will face the Mets and the Mariners next.
The Los Angeles Dodgers have a .260 batting average this season, .342 OBP and .431 Slugging percentage. Los Angeles’s pitching staff has a 3.56 ERA and 1.14 WHIP. Shohei Ohtani is the team’s best hitter with a .287 batting average, adding a team-high 22 home runs. Andy Pages leads the team in RBI with 68.
Eric Lauer (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he has a 4-5 record, 4.81 ERA and 1.28 WHIP.
Los Angeles Dodgers @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: July 22, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Aaron Nola Record this season: 3-7 ERA: 5.68
- Home Record: 0-3
- Last 5 against Dodgers: 1-3
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Dodgers have lost five of their last six games as road favorites against the Phillies following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last nine games against the Dodgers following a loss.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight home night games.
- The Dodgers have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Eric Lauer Record this season: 4-5 ERA: 4.81
- Road Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Phillies: 2-1
Why the Los Angeles Dodgers will win
- The Dodgers have won six of their last seven road games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have lost eight of their last nine games as home underdogs against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home underdogs.
- The Dodgers have covered the run line in four of their last five road games against NL East opponents.
- The Dodgers have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as home underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last six games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Dodgers’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Dodgers’ last seven games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last eight Wednesday games against NL West opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last nine home games.
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous appearances with the Phillies as home underdogs against NL West opponents.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last 12 home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (33) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Max Muncy has hit a home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Eric Lauer has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances with his team as a favorite against NL East opponents.
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 6th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.394) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.303).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.217).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for opponent batting average this season (.217).
Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction
The Dodgers are 7-3 in their last 10 meetings against the Phillies and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in Philadelphia.
In this Dodgers vs Phillies Prediction, the Dodgers are coming as -120 road favorites. I don’t like either pitcher in this matchup, as they both have a combined 10.49 ERA and both have been in bad recent form. Nola has a 6.61 ERA across his last three starts and has a 6.81 home ERA, while Lauer has given up 3 runs in each of his last three starts. the Dodgers have the third-best offense in baseball and I expect both offenses to come alive after getting suppressed in yesterday’s pitcher’s duel. Take the over 9.5 in this one.