In this article, we will formulate a Giants vs Padres Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, March 30th. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
San Diego Padres Preview
The San Diego Padres have a 1-2 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the NL West. They have a 1-2 home record and are coming off a 3-0 home win over the Tigers. Their previous three games were a 5-2 home loss to the Tigers, an 8-2 home loss to the Tigers, and a 10-3 home win over the Mariners in spring training.
The Padres have a .204 batting average this season, .271 OBP and .276 Slugging percentage. San Diego’s pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Ramon Laureano is the team’s best hitter with a .417 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 2 and adding a team-high one home run.
Walker Buehler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Padres, and last season he had a 10-7 record, 4.93 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.
San Francisco Giants Preview
The San Francisco Giants have a 0-3 record this season and are sitting in the last place of the NL West. They have a 0-0 home record and are coming off a 3-1 home defeat by the Yankees. Their previous three games were a 3-0 home loss to the Yankees, a 7-0 home loss to the Yankees, and a 10-7 home win over the Guardians in spring training.
The Giants have a .143 batting average this season, .212 OBP and .176 Slugging percentage. San Francisco’s pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Heliot Ramos is the team’s best hitter with a .300 batting average, while Matt Chapman leads the team with one RBI.
Landen Roupp (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Giants, and last season he had a 7-7 record, 3.80 ERA and 1.48 WHIP.
San Francisco Giants @ San Diego Padres Betting Trends: March 30, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Walker Buehler Record this season: – ERA: –
- Home Record: –
- Last 5 against Giants: 0-3
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won eight of their last nine games against NL West opponents.
- The Giants have lost 10 of their last 11 games against the Padres following a loss.
- The Padres have covered the run line in nine of their last 10 games as home favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Giants have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight road openers against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last seven games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in 12 of their last 13 home games against NL West opponents.
- The Giants have lost the first inning in each of their last four games at Petco Park against opponents that held a losing record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Landen Roupp Record this season: – ERA: –
- Road Record: –
- Last 5 against Padres: 0-2
Why the San Francisco Giants will win
- The Giants have won each of their last six night games at Petco Park following a home loss.
- The Padres have lost each of their last four Monday games as favorites against NL West opponents.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Monday games as favorites.
- The Giants have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Giants have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Giants have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Giants have won the first inning in four of their last five night games against NL West opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Padres’ last six games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Giants’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Giants’ last nine night games at Petco Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last eight night games against National League opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Manny Machado has hit a home run in four of his last five home appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Jackson Merrill has recorded at least one Double in three of the Padres’ last four games against NL opponents.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL West teams that held a losing record.
San Francisco Giants Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has recorded a Double in three of the Giants’ last four games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Rafael Devers has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in road openers.
- Jung Hoo Lee has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Padres rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (1).
- The Padres rank T28th in the league for RBIs this season (6).
- The Giants rank 30th in the league for runs scored this season (1).
- The Giants rank 30th in the league for hits this season (13).
Giants vs Padres Prediction
The Padres are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings against the Giants, having won their last three meetings in San Diego.
In this Giants vs Padres Prediction, the Padres are coming as -120 home favorites. Both teams lost their opening series but the Giants looked absolutely terrible as they got outscored by the Yankees by 13-1 runs. The Padres are coming off their first win of the season which was a shutout and they put Buehler on the mound who had a rough season last year but was far better at home, with a 2.63 ERA in 9 home starts. Roupp got torched in two of his three starts against the Padres last season so I just can’t get behind the Giants at this point. Take the Padres on the moneyline at home.