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Guardians vs Angels Prediction 5/30/25 MLB Picks Today

LA Angels (25-30) vs. Cleveland Guardians (30-25)
May 30, 2025 7:10 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians -142 / LA Angels 120; Over/Under: 8.5
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In this article, we will formulate a Guardians vs Angels prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 30th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 30-25 this year after they lost two out of three against the Dodgers by scores of 2-7, 5-9, and 7-4. In their game three win, Cleveland trailed 4-1 in the seventh inning, but they scored the last six runs in the game for the win. The Guardians recorded 15 hits in the game, and they were led by Martinez, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Cleveland started Allard, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 4.0 innings, while Festa got the win and Clase picked up the save. 

Prior to that series, the Guardians won three out of four against the Tigers and split two games with the Twins. Cleveland has won five of their last eight games, and they are currently second in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 223 runs with a .233 batting average and a .305 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Manzardo has led Cleveland with 10 home runs and 28 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has added nine home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Luis Ortiz, who is 2-5 with a 4.73 ERA and a 1.43 WHIP over 53.1 innings pitched this year. 

Los Angeles Angels Betting Preview

The Los Angeles Angels are 25-30 this season after they lost all three games against the Yankees by scores of 1-5, 2-3, and 0-1. In their game three loss, Los Angeles allowed a run in the first inning, which was enough to lose the game, as their offense couldn’t produce any runs. The Angels recorded five hits in the game, and they were led by Soler, who went 2-3 with one walk in the loss. LA started Kikuchi, who allowed four hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the loss, while four other pitchers combined for four scoreless innings. 

Prior to that series, the Angels lost two out of three against the Marlins, but did sweep the Athletics in four games before that. Los Angeles has lost five games in a row, and they are currently fourth in the AL West standings. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 4.84 ERA with a 1.51 WHIP and a .270 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 224 runs with a .224 batting average and a .284 on-base percentage this season. Taylor Ward has led LA with 15 home runs and 37 RBIs, while Logan O’Hoppe has added 14 home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Jose Soriano, who is 3-5 with a 3.73 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 62.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Guardians will beat the Angels

  • The Guardians have won each of their last 17 games against the Angels at Progressive Field following a home win.
  • The Angels have lost 16 of their last 17 night games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Angels have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 11 road games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last eight night games against the Angels at Progressive Field following a home win.
  • The Angels have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games.
  • The Angels have lost the first inning in each of their last three road games against AL Central opponents.
  • The Angels have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against American League opponents that held a winning record.

Why the Angels will beat the Guardians

  • The Angels have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs.
  • The Guardians have lost four of their last five games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The Angels have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Guardians following a home loss.
  • The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against teams that held a losing record.
  • The Angels have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
  • The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last five games.

Total Runs Facts

  • Each of the Angels’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
  • Each of the Guardians’ last four home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last seven games as favorites against AL West opponents.
  • The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Angels’ last four games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

  • Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites.
  • Carlos Santana has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Guardians’ last six Friday games.
  • Jose Ramirez has scored at least one run in each of the Guardians’ last six home games.
  • Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against AL opponents.
  • Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 21 games.
  • Will Brennan has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances with the Guardians as favorites against AL opponents.
  • Steven Kwan ranks 7th in the league in Hits (66) this season.

Los Angeles Angels Player Prop Facts

  • Logan O’Hoppe has hit at least one home run in each of the Angels’ last three games as road underdogs.
  • Taylor Ward has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Angels’ last six road games.
  • Logan O’Hoppe has recorded at least one Single in each of the Angels’ last six games against the Guardians.
  • Zach Neto has scored at least one run in each of the Angels’ last seven road games.
  • Zach Neto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against AL opponents.
  • Anthony Rendon has recorded a Double in each of his four previous appearances against the Guardians after not playing the previous day.
  • Taylor Ward ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (15) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

  • The Guardians rank 26th in the league for hits this season (419).
  • The Guardians rank 24th in the league for walks allowed this season (205).
  • The Angels rank 30th in the league for walks allowed this season (226).
  • The Angels rank 29th in the league for steals this season (24).

Guardians vs Angels Prediction 

Los Angeles comes into this series looking to snap a five-game losing streak, but they have been decent on the road, where they are 15-15 so far this year. Cleveland has dropped three of their last four games, but they are 15-10 at home. The Guardians have had some trouble with their pitching staff recently, and they are starting Ortiz, who has allowed three earned runs or more in two of his last four starts. LA is going with Soriano, who has allowed three earned runs in three of his last four outings. I think we could see some offense from both teams against these starters, so I like the over here. 

David Racey's Free Pick: Over 8.5

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David Racey

David started writing about sports in 2015, but sports has been his passion for as long as he can remember. David spends most of his free time watching pretty much anything sports related from Baseball to Tennis and everything in between. David likes to analyze statistics and recent results to form an unbiased opinion on whatever game he is breaking down. Follow David on Twitter at @itsyerboi41

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