In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Mariners prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 30th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 67-66 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-4 on Friday night. Cleveland fell behind in the first inning and trailed for most of the game, but they erased a 4-0 deficit and won in the ninth. The Guardians recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Jones, Rocchio, Martinez, Manzardo, and Kwan, who all had one RBI in the win. Cleveland started Allen, who allowed six hits and four earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Herrin picked up the win in relief.
Prior to this series, the Guardians won two out of three against the Rays, but did lose all three against the Rangers before that. Cleveland has won three games in a row and they are currently third in the AL Central standings. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 513 runs with a .224 batting average and a .295 on base percentage this season. Jose Ramirez has led Cleveland with 26 home runs and 68 RBIs, while Kyle Manzardo has added 22 home runs and 58 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 8-5 with a 3.36 ERA and a 1.32 WHIP over 136.2 innings pitched this year.
Seattle Mariners Betting Preview
The Seattle Mariners are 72-63 this season after they lost game one in dramatic fashion on Friday evening. Seattle scored four runs in the first inning, but couldn’t score over the last eight innings for the loss. The Mariners recorded 10 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Polanco, who went 2-4 with one home run and two RBIs in the loss. Seattle started Kirby, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings, while Munoz blew the save and picked up the loss.
Prior to this series, the Mariners won two out of three against the Padres and two out of three against the Athletics. Seattle has won three of their last five games and they are currently second in the AL West standings. The Seattle pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .244 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 620 runs with a .242 batting average and a .318 on base percentage this season. Cal Raleigh has led Seattle with 50 home runs and 107 RBIs, while Julio Rodriguez has added 25 home runs and 74 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Seattle is Logan Gilbert, who is 4-5 with a 3.69 ERA and a 1.03 WHIP over 97.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Mariners will beat the Guardians
- The Mariners have won each of their last eight games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have covered the run line each of their last four games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line each of their last six Saturday games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last nine Saturday games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- The Mariners have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Mariners have won the first inning in four of their last five games as favorites against the Guardians at Progressive Field.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Mariners’ last nine road games against AL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Mariners and Guardians have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Mariners’ last 10 games at Progressive Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven night games between the Mariners and Guardians at Progressive Field.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Guardians as home underdogs against AL West opponents.
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in three of the Guardians’ last four games against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Julio Rodriguez has hit a home run in each of the Mariners’ last three games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Victor Robles has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances against AL Central opponents.
- J.P. Crawford has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 11 games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Logan Gilbert has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 18 of his last 20 appearances with the Mariners as favorites against AL opponents.
Guardians vs Mariners Prediction
Seattle is trying to stay close to Houston in the AL West standings, which makes a loss like they had on Friday very difficult to swallow. The Mariners are 31-36 on the road this year, while the Guardians are 34-32 at home. Cleveland is trying to get their fourth win in a row and they are starting Williams, who has allowed 3, 0, and 4 earned runs in his last three outings. Seattle is going with Gilbert, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four. I don’t think this Cleveland lineup can consistently hang with a team like Seattle, so give me the Mariners -1.5 here.