The Boston Red Sox and Cleveland Guardians meet Saturday in MLB action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction. This article will include a Guardians vs Red Sox Pick.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 23-33 on the year and play the Yankees and Orioles next. The Boston Red Sox are batting .245 on the season, have a .317 OBP, and have a .372 slugging percentage. The Boston Red Sox pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu leads the Boston Red Sox with 60 hits and 22 RBI, while Ceddanne Rafaela and Willson Contreras have combined for 108 hits and 56 RBI.
Sonny Gray gets the ball for the Boston Red Sox, and he is 5-1 with a 3.27 ERA and 34 strikeouts this season. Gray is 7-5 with a 3.20 ERA and 111 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 34-25 on the year and play the Yankees and Rangers next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting. 231 on the season, have a .320 OBP, and have a .372 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians’ pitching staff has a 3.63 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Brayan Rocchio leads the Cleveland Guardians with 53 hits and 27 RBI, while Chase DeLauter and Jose Ramirez have combined for 101 hits and 58 RBI.
Parker Messick gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 6-1 with a 2.24 ERA and 70 strikeouts this season. This will be Messick’s second career game against the Boston Red Sox.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last eight games against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven day games after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last four day games against the Red Sox following a win.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Red Sox have lost the first inning in seven of their last eight road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Boston Red Sox will win
- The Red Sox have won four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the last eight games between the Red Sox and Guardians have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Red Sox’s last four games as underdogs against American League opponents has gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last six games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last four day games.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit at least one home run in three of the Guardians’ last five games as home favorites against the Red Sox.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 Saturday appearances against AL East teams that held a losing record.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Sonny Gray has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances with his team as an underdog.
- Sonny Gray has recorded a win in five of his last six road appearances against AL opponents.
- Jarren Duran has hit a home run in two of the Red Sox’s last three road games.
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances with his team as an underdog against the Guardians.
Guardians vs Red Sox Prediction
You can make an argument for Gray and the plus money, but then you’re reminded that the Red Sox are in terrible form. Also, as good as Gray has been this season, over 19 road innings, he has a 4.26 ERA and a .304 batting average allowed. Messick is missing bats at an impressive rate, and he has a 2.24 ERA and 1.04 WHIP on the season. In 36 home innings, Messick has a 2.50 ERA and a .194 batting average allowed. The Guardians are playing the better ball and have the sharper pitcher in terms of road/home splits. I’ll lay the low price with Cleveland at home.