Guardians vs Royals Prediction 4/11/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Guardians vs Royals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 11th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview

The Cleveland Guardians are 6-6 this year after they swept the White Sox by scores of 1-0, 3-2, and 6-1. In that game three win, the Guardians fell behind 1-0 in the first inning, but they scored the final six runs in the game for the win. Cleveland recorded 10 hits in the game, and they were led by Kwan, who went 4-5 with one home run and four RBIs in the win. The Guardians started Williams, who allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings, while Junis and Cantillo combined for four scoreless innings in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Guardians lost two out of three against the Angels and were swept by the Padres in three games. The Cleveland pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA with a 1.42 WHIP and a .256 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 44 runs with a .212 batting average and a .304 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Manzardo has led Cleveland with four home runs and 11 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has added four home runs and six RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Tanner Bibee, who is 1-1 with a 6.52 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 9.2 innings pitched this year. 

Kansas City Royals Betting Preview

The Kansas City Royals are 7-6 this season after they won three out of four against Minnesota by scores of 4-2, 2-1, 0-4, and 3-2. In that game four win, the Royals trailed 2-1 in the sixth, but they scored twice in the seventh to escape with the win. Kansas City recorded seven hits and committed one error in the game, while they were led by India, Witt Jr., and Perez, who all had one RBI in the win. The Royals started Wacha, who allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings, while Lynch picked up the win in relief, and Estevez got the save. 

Prior to that series, the Royals won two out of three against the Orioles and lost two out of three against the Brewers. The Kansas City pitching staff has a 2.97 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 45 runs with a .221 batting average and a .287 on-base percentage this season. Maikel Garcia has led KC with two home runs and six RBIs, while Vinnie Pasquantino has added one home run and 10 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Kansas City is Kris Bubic, who is 2-0 with a 0.71 ERA and a 0.87 WHIP over 12.2 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Guardians will beat the Royals

• The Royals have lost each of their last six night games against the Guardians at Progressive Field following a home win.
• The home team has won eight of the Guardians’ last nine games.
• The Royals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against AL Central opponents.
• The Guardians have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Royals.
• The Guardians have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
• The Guardians have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as home favorites against American League opponents.
• The Royals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Why the Royals will beat the Guardians

• The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Royals have won three of their last four games as road underdogs against the Guardians.
• The Royals have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against American League opponents.
• The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six night games following a win.
• The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine Friday games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Royals have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against AL Central opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Royals’ last 10 night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Thirteen of the Guardians’ last 17 games as home favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last six games between the Royals and Guardians.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Royals’ last seven games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts

• Carlos Santana has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two night games.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one RBI in four of the Guardians’ last five games against the Royals.
• Steven Kwan has scored at least one run in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games against AL Central opponents.
• Brayan Rocchio has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last seven games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
• Steven Kwan has recorded at least one Single in 11 of the Guardians’ last 12 games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
• Will Brennan has recorded at least one Double in each of his last three appearances with the Guardians as favorites against AL opponents.

Kansas City Royals Player Prop Facts

• Bobby Witt Jr. has hit a home run in three of the Royals’ last five road games against AL Central opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded a Double in four of the Royals’ last five games against AL opponents.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in night games.
• Vinnie Pasquantino has scored a run in five of his last six road appearances against the Guardians after playing the previous day.
• Michael Massey has recorded at least one Single in each of the Royals’ last four road games against AL opponents.
• Kris Bubic has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances with the Royals as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.
• Bobby Witt Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Royals’ last 14 games as road underdogs against AL Central opponents.

Guardians vs Royals Prediction 

Cleveland was able to take advantage of playing the White Sox in their last series, which resulted in a sweep, while Kansas City took three out of four against the Twins. Both teams have very similar offensive numbers so far this season, but Kansas City has the third-best team ERA in the MLB. The Royals will turn to Bubic, who has allowed one earned run over 12.2 innings. Bibee will be starting for Cleveland, but he had a horrible outing last time out after pitching very well against the Royals in his first start. Both offenses are really struggling right now, so I like the under in this matchup