In this article, we will formulate a Guardians vs Tigers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, August 13th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers have a 59-61 record this season and are sitting in 3rd place in the AL Central. They have a 31-28 home record and are coming off a 4-6 home loss against the Guardians. They will face the White Sox and the Pirates next.
The Detroit Tigers have a .243 batting average this season, a .320 OBP, and a .407 slugging percentage. The Tigers’ pitching staff has a 3.50 ERA and a 1.21 WHIP. Kevin McGonigle is the Tigers’ best hitter with a .286 batting average, while Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 80 and adds a team-high 26 home runs.
Keider Montero (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers, and he has an 8-7 record, a 3.38 ERA, and a 1.01 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians have a 59-62 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the AL Central. They have a 31-31 away record and are coming off a 6-4 away win against the Tigers. They will face the Padres and the Giants next.
The Cleveland Guardians have a .233 batting average this season, a .314 OBP, and a .370 slugging percentage. The Guardians’ pitching staff has a 3.84 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Chase DeLauter leads the Guardians with a .283 batting average and a team-high 57 RBI, while Rhys Hoskins adds a team-high 13 home runs.
Parker Messick (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 9-6 record, a 2.57 ERA, and a 1.04 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians @ Detroit Tigers Betting Trends: August 13, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Keider Montero Record this season: 8-7 ERA: 3.38
- Home Record: 4-4
- Last 5 against Guardians: 0-0
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight games as favorites following a win.
- The Tigers have won each of their last four games as underdogs following a loss.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 games as favorites against American League opponents following a win.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last six day games at Comerica Park against American League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Parker Messick Record this season: 9-6 ERA: 2.57
- Road Record: 6-4
- Last 5 against Tigers: 0-1
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last seven road games against the Tigers following a win.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last seven games against the Guardians following a home loss.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last eight Thursday day road games.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games after playing the previous day.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games against the Tigers.
- The Guardians have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Guardians’ last eight games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Tigers’ last eight games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Tigers’ last eight games as home underdogs.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the Guardians’ last 10 games at Comerica Park.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Dillon Dingler has hit at least one home run in five of the Tigers’ last six games as underdogs.
- Keider Montero has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last three appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Dillon Dingler has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last nine games as underdogs.
- Kevin McGonigle ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.391) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jo Adell has hit a home run in each of his last three road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Parker Messick has recorded six or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances.
- Jose Ramirez ranks 6th in the league in Steals (29) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (35).
- The Tigers rank 2nd in the league for ERA this season (3.50).
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.370).
- The Guardians rank 28th in the league for runs scored this season (483).
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction
The Guardians are 7-1 in their last 8 meetings against the Tigers and are 4-1 in their last 5 visits in Detroit.
In this Guardians vs Tigers Prediction, the Guardians are coming as -125 road favorites. I like the pitching in this matchup, as both pitchers have a combined 5.95 ERA and Messick has been in excellent form, with two earned runs or less in 8 of his last 9 games. Both bullpen have been solid and the under is 5-2 in their last 7 meetings between those two teams, who are also 125-112 to the under combined this season. Take the under 8 runs in this one.