In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Friday, September 4th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 70-70 this season after they lost two out of three against the Blue Jays by scores of 6-1, 0-11, and 3-6. In game three, Cleveland led 1-0 in the third inning, but they allowed the next five runs for the loss. The Guardians recorded eight hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Hedges, who went 1-2 with two RBIs. Bibee allowed four hits and five earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Hernandez allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, Cleveland lost two out of three against the Royals, but did sweep the Angels before that.
This season, Cleveland has a 3.74 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .237 opponent batting average, while they have scored 566 runs with a .236 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with 13 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 14 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland in game one is Logan Allen, who is 0-0 with a 3.77 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 14.1 innings pitched this season. The projected starting pitcher for game two is Foster Griffin, who is 15-4 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP over 154.1 innings pitched this season.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 64-75 this year after they lost two out of three against the Twins by scores of 1-11, 2-15, and 11-6. In game three, Detroit blew a 5-1 lead, but they scored five runs in the 12th for the win. The Tigers recorded 14 hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Peck, who went 2-5 with three RBIs. Anderson allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.2 innings, while Finnegan picked up the win. Prior to that series, Detroit lost two out of three against the Dodgers and two out of three against the Rays.
This season, Detroit has a 3.70 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 610 runs with a .238 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 26 home runs and 82 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 16 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit in game one is Keider Montero, who is 9-8 with a 3.24 ERA and a 0.99 WHIP over 139.0 innings pitched this year. The projected starter for game two is Andrew Sears, who is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 6.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last eight games as home favorites against the Tigers following a home loss.
- The Tigers have lost 10 of their last 11 road games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in six of their last seven home games on the first leg of a doubleheader against AL opponents.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home day games.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Guardians have lost five of their last six games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have won four of their last five games as underdogs following an extra innings win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight day games following an extra innings win.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight Friday home games.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in 13 of their last 17 day games against AL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last six road games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Guardians’ last four games as favorites against the Tigers have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Guardians’ last six games as home favorites against AL opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in five of Keider Montero’s last six road appearances as a starter.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Nathaniel Lowe has hit at least one home run in each of his last three home appearances against the Tigers.
- Logan Allen has recorded four or more strikeouts in six of his seven previous home appearances against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Patrick Bailey has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight home appearances against AL opponents.
- Jose Ramirez ranks T6th in the league in Steals (31) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Dillon Dingler has hit at least one home run in five of his last 10 road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against the Guardians.
- Keider Montero has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank T29th in the league for home runs this season (130).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.372).
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (42).
- The Tigers rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (28).
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction
Detroit comes into this matchup after snapping their losing streak in their last game, but they have been pretty bad in recent weeks. The Tigers are 30-40 on the road this year, while the Guardians are 33-38 at home. Cleveland has split their last four games, but they are battling for the last wild card spot. In game one, I think Montero is the better starter, so I will back Detroit. In game two, I like the Guardians -1.5 with Griffin on the mound.