The Detroit Tigers and Cleveland Guardians meet Saturday in MLB action at Progressive Field. Here’s a Guardians vs Tigers Prediction. This article will include a Guardians vs Tigers Pick.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 64-77 on the year and play the Twins and Rockies next. The Detroit Tigers are batting .238 on the season and have a .314 OBP and a .396 slugging percentage. The Detroit Tigers’ pitching staff has a 3.72 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP. Kevin McGonigle leads the Detroit Tigers with 144 hits and 59 RBI, while Dillon Dingler and Riley Greene have combined for 239 hits and 138 RBI.
Framber Valdez gets the ball for the Detroit Tigers, and he is 8-10 with a 4.36 ERA and 116 strikeouts this season. Valdez is 5-2 with a 3.43 ERA and 28 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 72-70 on the year and play the Orioles and Twins next. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .237 on the season, have a .314 OBP, and a .372 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP. Chase DeLauter leads the Cleveland Guardians with 131 hits and 60 RBI, while Steven Kwan and Brayan Rocchio have combined for 244 hits and 86 RBI.
Parker Messick gets the ball for the Cleveland Guardians, and he is 11-8 with a 2.46 ERA and 161 strikeouts this season. Messick is 0-2 with a 4.60 ERA and 19 strikeouts in his career against the Detroit Tigers.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Tigers have lost 12 of their last 13 road games against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have won 12 of their last 13 night games against the Tigers following a win.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 games against AL opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last five Saturday games against the Tigers.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight night games against AL Central opponents.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Guardians have lost each of their last four games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Tigers have won seven of their last eight Saturday night games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against the Guardians.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 games as favorites following an extra-innings win.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games against the Guardians.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last seven road games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Guardians’ last four games following an extra-innings win have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of Framber Valdez’s last eight appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the last six night games between the Tigers and Guardians.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Parker Messick has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL opponents.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his 18 previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Tigers.
- Nathaniel Lowe has hit at least one home run in three of his last five home appearances against the Tigers.
- Parker Messick ranks 5th amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.46) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Riley Greene has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Spencer Torkelson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last eight night games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Framber Valdez has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
- Framber Valdez has recorded a win in each of his last three road appearances.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (130).
- The Guardians rank 30th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.371).
- The Tigers rank 30th in the league for steals this season (42).
- The Tigers rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (28).
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction
The Guardians just beat the Tigers twice yesterday and are keeping pace in the wild card race. These are games they need to take advantage of. Valdez has been hittable all season with a 4.36 ERA and 1.40 WHIP through 150.2 innings. Messick has been much sharper with a 2.46 ERA and 1.02 WHIP through 161 innings. Messick is coming off an August where he allowed 27 hits and 8 earned runs in 35.2 innings. Clear edge on the mound and motivation on their side. Give me the Guardians and the RL for max betting value.