In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Tigers prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, September 6th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 72-71 this year after they won two of the first three games by scores of 7-6, 4-3, and 0-6. In game three, Cleveland fell behind in the first inning and never found any offense in the loss. The Guardians recorded three hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Fry, who went 1-3. Messick allowed seven hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Festa allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Cleveland lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Royals.
This season, Cleveland has a 3.76 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .238 opponent batting average, while they have scored 577 runs with a .236 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with 13 home runs and 60 RBIs, while Angel Martinez has added 14 home runs and 50 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 13-7 with a 3.81 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 163.0 innings pitched this year.
Detroit Tigers Betting Preview
The Detroit Tigers are 65-77 this season after they won game three by a score of 6-0 last night. Detroit led for the entire game and pulled away in the seventh inning. The Tigers recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Greene, who went 4-5 with two home runs and four RBIs. Valdez allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.0 innings for the win, while Finnegan threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Detroit lost two out of three against the Twins and two out of three against the Dodgers.
This season, Detroit has a 3.69 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 625 runs with a .239 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Dillon Dingler has led the Tigers with 26 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Riley Greene has added 18 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Detroit is Jackson Jobe, who is 1-2 with a 4.63 ERA and a 1.46 WHIP over 23.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last nine games as home favorites against the Tigers following a home loss.
- The Tigers have lost each of their last six games following a win.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games following a win.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in four of their last five home day games.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Guardians have lost eight of their last 12 games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have won each of their last six Sunday games against the Guardians.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in each of their last eight games as underdogs against the Guardians.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight Sunday games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in three of their last four games at Progressive Field.
- The Tigers have led after 3 innings in each of their last five games against the Guardians.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Guardians’ last four day games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Six of the Tigers’ last seven games as underdogs against the Guardians have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of Jackson Jobe’s eight previous road appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of Gavin Williams’ last eight home appearances as a starter.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Patrick Bailey has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances in day games against AL Central teams that held a losing record.
- Gavin Williams has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances against the Tigers.
- Nathaniel Lowe has recorded at least one hit in 17 of his 18 previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Tigers.
- Gavin Williams has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances.
- Gavin Williams ranks 3rd in the league for total Strikeouts (217) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Riley Greene has hit at least one home run in each of his last three appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jackson Jobe has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with the Tigers as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded two or more hits in each of his last six appearances against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for home runs this season (133).
- The Guardians rank 29th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.371).
- The Tigers rank T29th in the league for steals this season (43).
- The Tigers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (28).
Guardians vs Tigers Prediction
Detroit was able to get a much needed win on Saturday night and they have scored 6+ runs in three of their last four games. The Tigers are 31-42 on the road this year, while the Guardians are 35-39 at home. Cleveland has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed 6+ runs in four of those five. The Guardians are starting Williams, who has allowed 0, 5, 2, 5, and 2 earned runs in his last five starts, while Jobe has allowed 4, 1, 1, and 6 earned runs in his last four starts. Take the over here.