Guardians vs. Twins Pick – MLB Predictions & Odds 5/5/23

The Minnesota Twins and the Cleveland Guardians meet in an AL Central division matchup in MLB action from Progressive Field on Friday night. Let’s dive into the odds, starting pitching matchup, history and make a prediction for this game.

Odds

Minnesota is a -120 road favorite while Cleveland is a +100 home underdog. The total for this game is set at 8.5 runs.

Starting Pitching Matchup

Bailey Ober will start for Minnesota and is 1-0 with a 1.59 ERA and 10 strikeouts this season. Peyton Battenfield will start for the Guardians and is 0-2 with a 4.67 ERA and 14 strikeouts this season.

Matchup History

Cleveland’s 11-4 win back on September 19th, 2022, made it 9 wins in the last 10 head-to-head meetings between these two teams.

Trends

Minnesota is 16-35 in their last 51 road games and 10-4 in their last 14 division games while the under is 5-1-1 in their last 7 Friday games. Cleveland is 15-6 in their last 21 division games and 1-4 in their last 5 games overall while the under is 7-0 in their last 7 series-opening games.

Pick

I’m backing the Twins here. The Twins just have the far more reliable starting pitcher in Bailey Ober, and right now, I trust the Twins to have the easier time scoring runs consistently which looks to be a problem for the Guardians right now. I think the Twins keep it rolling along here and get a win to start the weekend. Give me Minnesota here.

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