Guardians vs Twins Prediction 5/10/26 MLB Picks Today
Minnesota Twins (17-23) vs. Cleveland Guardians (21-20)
May 10, 2026 1:40 pm EDT
The Line: Cleveland Guardians / Minnesota Twins ; Over/Under:
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 10th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 21-20 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 6-4 and 1-2. In game two, Cleveland tied the game at one in the fourth inning, but they couldn’t score in the 10th or 11th with the runner on second for the loss. The Guardians recorded two hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Manzardo, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Bibee allowed one hit and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Pallette picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Cleveland split four games with the Royals and won two out of three against the Athletics.
This season, Cleveland has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 169 runs with a .228 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with six home runs and 23 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has added six home runs and 15 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Gavin Williams, who is 5-2 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 49.1 innings pitched this year.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 17-23 this season after they won game two by a score of 2-1 on Saturday. Minnesota scored in the first inning, but they were held scoreless for nine straight innings, before winning in the 11th. The Twins recorded two hits in the game and they were led by Buxton, who went 2-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Ryan allowed two hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Orze got the win and Garcia picked up the save. Prior to this series, Minnesota lost two out of three against the Nationals and split four games with the Blue Jays.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.64 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .250 opponent batting average, while they have scored 189 runs with a .234 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Byron Buxton has led the Twins with 13 home runs and 21 RBIs, while Ryan Jeffers has added five home runs and 23 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is TBD.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Twins have lost each of their last nine day games against the Guardians following a road win.
- The Guardians have won each of their last eight day games against the Twins at Progressive Field following a loss.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games against American League opponents following an extra innings loss.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in seven of their last eight day games against the Twins at Progressive Field.
- The Guardians have won the first inning in each of their last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won six of their last seven games against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have lost each of their last three games after going to extra innings.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Sunday games against AL Central opponents.
- The Twins have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have won the first inning in three of their last four games against American League opponents.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last three day games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Twins’ last six day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Guardians’ last six home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the last seven games between the Twins and Guardians.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in five of his 10 previous appearances against the Twins after playing the previous day.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 13 games against the Twins.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Ryan Jeffers has recorded a hit in each of his last six appearances against the Guardians.
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in five of the Twins’ last six games against AL opponents.
Guardians vs Twins Prediction
Minnesota was able to snap their losing streak with a low scoring win on Saturday, but they have allowed 6+ runs in three of their last four games. The Twins are 7-13 on the road this year, while the Guardians are 10-8 at home. Cleveland has won three of their last four games, but they have scored three runs or fewer in three of their last five. The Guardians are starting Williams, who has allowed 5, 0, and 6 earned runs in his last three starts, while Minnesota hasn’t announced their plans. I know Williams has had some recent issues, but he is still a very solid pitcher. Take Cleveland to win here.