In this article we will formulate a Guardians vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 8th at Progressive Field in Cleveland, Ohio. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians are 20-19 this year after they split four games with the Royals by scores of 2-6, 3-5, 3-1, and 8-5. In game four, Cleveland led 8-2 in the seventh inning, but did allow three runs to make the score look closer. The Guardians recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Naylor, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Cecconi allowed six hits and two earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Smith picked up the save. Prior to that series, Cleveland won two out of three against the Athletics, but lost two out of three against the Rays before that.
This season, Cleveland has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .236 opponent batting average, while they have scored 162 runs with a .231 batting average and a .319 on base percentage. Chase DeLauter has led the Guardians with six home runs and 23 RBIs, while Jose Ramirez has added six home runs and 14 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cleveland is Parker Messick, who is 3-1 with a 2.40 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 41.1 innings pitched this year.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 16-22 this season after they lost two out of three against the Nationals by scores of 11-3, 2-15, and 5-7. In game three, Minnesota led 2-0 in the second and tied the game at five in the seventh, but they allowed two runs in the bottom of the seventh for the loss. The Twins recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Lee, who went 2-3 with two RBIs. Woods Richardson allowed four hits and five earned runs over 4.1 innings, while Klein picked up the loss in relief. Prior to that series, Minnesota split four games with the Blue Jays and lost two out of three against the Mariners before that.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.80 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 178 runs with a .233 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Brooks Lee has led the Twins with five home runs and 23 RBIs, while Ryan Jeffers has added five home runs and 22 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Connor Prielipp, who is 1-0 with a 3.86 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 14.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Twins have lost each of their last seven road games after playing the previous day.
- The Guardians have won each of their last six night games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against AL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Guardians have won the first inning in three of their last four games against the Twins.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven games as road underdogs.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Twins have won each of their last four games as underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Guardians have lost five of their last six games as home favorites following a win.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Twins’ last 11 games at Progressive Field.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 night games following a win.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Guardians’ last four home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Twins’ last seven games as underdogs against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Twins’ last four night games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the last five games between the Twins and Guardians.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Jose Ramirez has hit a home run in each of the Guardians’ last two home games against the Twins.
- Jose Ramirez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 11 games against the Twins.
- Jose Ramirez ranks T1st in the league in Steals (14) this season.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit a home run in five of the Twins’ last six night games.
- Josh Bell has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances at Progressive Field.
- Byron Buxton ranks T7th in the league in Home Runs (11) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Guardians rank T29th in the league for triples this season (1).
- The Guardians rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (349).
- The Twins rank 27th in the league for ERA this season (4.80).
- The Twins rank 27th in the league for runs allowed this season (195).
Guardians vs Twins Prediction
Cleveland was able to escape Kansas City with a series split, but they have allowed at least five runs in four of their last five games. The Guardians are 9-7 at home this year, while the Twins are 6-12 on the road. Minnesota has split their last four games, but they have allowed 7+ runs in three of their last five. The Twins are starting Prielipp, who has allowed two earned runs in each of his three starts, while Messick has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last five. Take Cleveland at home here, as Messick is the much better starter.