In this article, we will formulate a Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for this MLB matchup on Thursday, June 4th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Yankees Preview
The New York Yankees have a 36-25 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the AL East. They have a 17-11 home record and are coming off a 4-5 home defeat against the Guardians. They will face the Red Sox and the Guardians next.
The Yankees have a .241 batting average this season, .331 OBP and .434 Slugging percentage. New York’s pitching staff has a 3.31 ERA and 1.18 WHIP. Ben Rice is the team’s best hitter with a .304 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 44. Aaron Judge adds a team-high 17 home runs.
Carlos Rodon (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Yankees, and he has a 1-2 record, 3.32 ERA and 1.32 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians Preview
The Cleveland Guardians have a 36-27 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL Central. They have a 19-13 road record and are coming off a 5-4 road win against the Yankees. They will face the Rangers and the Yankees next.
The Guardians have a .234 batting average this season, .320 OBP and .379 Slugging percentage. Cleveland’s pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Brayan Rocchio is the team’s best hitter with a .289 batting average. Jose Ramirez leads the team in RBI with 32, adding a team-high 9 home runs.
Slade Cecconi (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Guardians, and he has a 3-5 record, 5.25 ERA and 1.49 WHIP.
Cleveland Guardians @ New York Yankees Betting Trends: June 4, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Carlos Rodon Record this season: 1-2 ERA: 3.32
- Home Record: 0-1
- Last 5 against Guardians: 4-0
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Guardians have lost seven of their last eight road games against the Yankees following a win.
- The Yankees have won six of their last seven day games against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last five day games following a loss.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven Thursday road games against AL East opponents.
- The Guardians have lost the first inning in three of their last four day games at Yankee Stadium.
- The Yankees have led after 3 innings in each of their last five day games against AL Central opponents.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in each of their last eight day games at Yankee Stadium against AL Central opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Slade Cecconi Record this season: 3-5 ERA: 5.25
- Road Record: 3-4
- Last 5 against Yankees: 0-1
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Yankees have lost each of their last four games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Guardians’ last nine games.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games after playing the previous day.
- The Guardians have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Guardians have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against American League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last five games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Guardians’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Guardians’ last eight road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of Carlos Rodon’s last eight appearances as a starter.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Carlos Rodon has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances against the Guardians.
- Carlos Rodon has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against the Guardians.
- Paul Goldschmidt has recorded at least one hit in each of the Yankees’ last eight games.
- Giancarlo Stanton has hit a home run in five of his last six appearances against the Guardians.
- Ben Rice ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.647) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Rhys Hoskins has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances in day games against AL East teams that held a winning record.
- Jose Ramirez ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (21) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (89).
- The Yankees rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (264).
- The Guardians rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (588).
- The Guardians rank 4th in the league for steals this season (59).
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction
The Guardians are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings against the Yankees and are 3-1 in their last 4 visits in New York.
In this Guardians vs Yankees Prediction, the Yankees are coming as -170 home favorites. The Guardians have won both games in this series and are now facing a leftie in Carlos Rodon, and they have been the best hitting team against lefties in the past 10 days. Cecconi has better metrics than his actual ERA and the Yankees’ offense has taken a major hit without Aaron Judge. Take the Guardians once again for plus money.