The Detroit Tigers and the Houston Astros meet Wednesday in MLB action from Daikin Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Detroit Tigers will start Casey Mize and Mize is 2-3 with a 2.27 ERA and 49 strikeouts this season. Peter Lambert will start for the Astros and is 5-4 with a 3.47 ERA and 53 strikeouts this season.
Detroit Tigers Recap
The Detroit Tigers will be out to rebound from a 4-2 loss at the hands of the Astros on Tuesday to slip to 30-43 this season. After this series, the Tigers will head home for a series against the Chicago White Sox.
Astros Drop 3 Of Last 4
Riley Greene has 76 hits with 16 doubles, 8 home runs and 33 RBIs while Kevin McGonigle has 71 hits with 15 doubles, 3 triples, 4 home runs and 24 RBIs. Spencer Torkelson’s added 49 hits with 14 doubles, 11 home runs and 28 RBIs and Dillon Dingler has 60 hits with 14 doubles, 16 home runs and 50 RBIs this season. Colt Keith’s added 49 hits with 8 doubles and 10 RBIs and Matt Vierling has 36 hits with 10 doubles, 4 home runs and 23 RBIs.
Houston Astros Recap
The Houston Astros come into this game looking to add on to their win over Detroit last time out to sit at 34-41 this season. After this series, the Astros will host the Cleveland Guardians in a series at home.
Astros Snap Two-Game Slide
Yordan Alvarez has 85 hits with 13 doubles, 24 home runs and 54 RBIs while Christian Walker has 67 hits with 13 doubles, 18 home runs and 52 RBIs on the year. Jose Altuve’s chipped in 45 hits with 10 doubles, 6 home runs and 15 RBIs and Isaac Paredes has 54 hits with 12 doubles, 9 home runs and 33 RBIs. Cam Smith also has 52 hits with 10 doubles, 7 home runs and 26 RBIs.
Detroit Tigers @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: June 17, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Peter Lambert Record this season: 5-4 ERA: 3.47
- Home Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Tigers: 0-0
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Tigers have lost seven of their last eight games as road favorites against American League opponents.
- The Astros have won each of their last three games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
- The Astros have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs against AL Central opponents following a home win.
- The Astros have won the first inning in each of their last three games as underdogs against the Tigers at Daikin Park.
- The Tigers have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games as road favorites against American League opponents.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Casey Mize Record this season: 2-3 ERA: 2.27
- Road Record: 0-2
- Last 5 against Astros: 2-0
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Tigers have won each of their last seven day games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Astros have lost 10 of their last 12 home games following a win.
- The Tigers have covered the run line in six of their last seven games against the Astros following a loss.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in six of their last seven games as underdogs following a home win.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven day games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine games.
- The Astros have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against AL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Astros’ last seven day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Tigers’ last six games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Tigers’ last five games as road favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Astros’ last 10 games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Jose Altuve has hit a home run in three of the Astros’ last five games as home underdogs against AL Central opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last eight home games.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.644) this season.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Colt Keith has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances against the Astros.
- Casey Mize has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances against AL West opponents.
- Casey Mize has recorded five or more strikeouts in six of his last eight appearances with the Tigers as favorites.
- Javier Baez has recorded at least one hit in 18 of his last 19 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Riley Greene ranks T9th in the league in Hits (79) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for triples this season (5).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (24).
- The Tigers rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (15).
- The Tigers rank 28th in the league for steals this season (25).
Detroit Tigers vs. Houston Astros Prediction
I’m backing the Tigers here. I think that Casey Mize can have a decent enough outing here and the Tigers are really doing a lot better against right-handed pitching than the Astros are at this point in the year. Peter Lambert’s been a solid option for the Astros, but in the end, I trust the Tigers’ bats more so give me the Tigers.